Barrett is the most unpopular Supreme Court nominee, so Democrats have nothing to lose in this fight

For decades, the American public has been working under the assumption that if someone were nominated to the Supreme Court, that person must be qualified. How else could that individual get to a place where they would even be considered for nomination? That slipped a little with President Ronald Reagan's nomination of Robert Bork, who ended up being rejected even by Republicans—enough of them to sink his confirmation. Everything's changed with Donald Trump, however. First Republicans broke all norms and regular procedures by refusing to even talk to President Barack Obama's nominee, Merrick Garland, for more than half a year before the election. Then we had the Brett Kavanaugh debacle, where the whole country could see the blunt force Republicans would employ to get a guy everyone recognized as the frat-boy bully of their school nightmares onto the court.

Now we've got the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett, and an electorate not giving her the benefit of the doubt as to qualifications. CNN reports: "Initial reactions to Barrett are among the worst in CNN and Gallup polling on 12 potential justices dating back to Robert Bork, who was nominated by Ronald Reagan and rejected by the Senate." Barrett has the distinction, along with Kavanaugh, of being "the only two for whom opposition outweighed support in initial polling on their nominations." A plurality does not want her confirmed, 46% to 42%, and 56% say she should recuse herself from any cases resulting from the 2020 election, including 32% of Republicans. Which leads us to the fight Democrats have to have against her confirmation. There's absolutely no downside to Democrats doing everything in their power, limited though it may be, to fight this.

Most of that fight is going to have to be in the Judiciary Committee. The No. 1 thing Democrats should be doing is boycotting the hearings and refusing to allow Lindsey Graham, the chairman, a quorum to conduct most of his business. With any number of Republican senators unavailable at any given time because of quarantine, Democrats need to be nimble and flexible in when they choose to participate. But senators, Democratic or Republican, aren't likely to miss an opportunity to get some video clips of themselves scoring points out there. Knowing they aren't going to give up a chance at their 15 minutes, they need to follow a plan. Chuck Schumer needs to make them do it.

For once, they have to coordinate. They have to find a single plan of attack and stick to it, with their questions coordinated and designed to build a narrative. Already we're seeing the opening—this is a rushed confirmation that Republicans are intent on ramming through before the election and in that rush, they're covering stuff up. We saw the initial evidence of that when Barrett did not submit a newspaper ad she signed on to in 2006 on behalf of a forced-birther group with the materials she provided to the Judiciary Committee—either for this nomination or for her 2017 nomination to an appeals court position. In the ad, she said she opposed "abortion on demand" and defended "the right to life from fertilization to the end of natural life." That's not all: In 2017, The Washington Post reports she didn't disclose her affiliation with the radical Christian group People of Praise. The group has scrubbed all references to her from its website. What else is she hiding?

In pushing that narrative, they should also have the less effective of their members step back. Let Sens. Kamala Harris (she has said she intends to participate), Amy Klobuchar, Mazie Hirono, and Sheldon Whitehouse—the sharpest interrogators—take the lead. They were the sharpest and most effective questioners in the Kavanaugh hearings and we need that acuity again now. 

That's not the only Democratic coordination we need to have happen. Schumer should be quietly working with his conference and with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on measures they can take to gum up the works for the Senate after the almost inevitable vote out of committee happens. There are things like War Powers resolutions Democratic senators can bring to the floor that will take precedent over a confirmation vote. Likewise, there are resolutions—most notably impeachment—that the House can send over that have to be considered before nominations. Note that this kind of coordination could be happening already. We're not supposed to see it. To be most effective, it can't be seen coming. McConnell is likely already figuring out how he can combat such measures, so Democrats have to be as wily in figuring out when and how to spring them. Which they should be working on. Right now.

Stopping this is going to be nearly impossible, barring the coronavirus continuing to sweep through Republican ranks and reducing the number of senators McConnell has available at any given time. But that doesn't mean Democrats are powerless, and it doesn't mean they shouldn't find every possible avenue for getting this delayed past the election. It probably won't work, but they've got to try it anyway.

For one thing, it will give them practice on coordinating their messaging and their efforts to reform the courts when they have the White House and Senate in 2021.

Morning Digest: Bogus attack ads leading to death threats for Democrats? The NRCC just loves ’em

The Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, Stephen Wolf, Carolyn Fiddler, and Matt Booker, with additional contributions from David Jarman, Steve Singiser, Daniel Donner, James Lambert, David Beard, and Arjun Jaikumar.

Leading Off

NJ-07: Freshman Democratic Rep. Tom Malinowski said last week that he'd received death threats from followers of the pro-Trump QAnon conspiracy theory in large part because of an NRCC spot ad falsely accusing him of lobbying against a national sex offender registry, and the NRCC has responded by running a new spot that repeats the very same lie.

Campaign Action

The narrator declares that "public records prove Malinowski worked as the top lobbyist for a radical group that opposed the national sex offender registry because it would cause great harm to convicted sexual offenders." The ad continues, "Tom Malinowski led an effort to stop the law that lets you know if there is a child molester living on your street."

Multiple colleagues of Malinowski's from his time as Washington advocacy director for Human Rights Watch say that he hadn't played any role when the organization lobbied against the 2006 legislation that the NRCC is pretending he tried to stop, and HRW has also confirmed this. HRW did not even object to the creation of a national sex offender registry: Instead, it opposed that year's crime bill because it would have required low-level offenders, such as anyone charged with public urination, to register as sex offenders "regardless of whether they have lived offense-free for decades."

The NRCC, though, doesn't remotely care about these facts or the danger that these commercials could pose to Malinowski. The congressman told Buzzfeed that when he confronted NRCC chair Tom Emmer on the House floor about the death threats he'd received from QAnon acolytes, Emmer "said, 'I don't know what Q is' and walked away. … He said, 'I can't be responsible for, you know, how people use our stuff and I don't know what that is." After Buzzfeed's story was published, the NRCC even retweeted it and repeated its lies about Malinowski.

3Q Fundraising

MS-Sen: Mike Espy (D): $4 million raised

IL-06: Jeanne Ives (R): $1 million raised

MO-02: Jill Schupp (D): $1.9 million raised

NC-08: Pat Timmons-Goodson (D): $1.7 million raised, $580,000 cash-on-hand

NY-21: Elise Stefanik (R-inc): $3 million raised, $4 million cash-on-hand; Tedra Cobb (D): $1.2 million raised, $1.4 million cash-on-hand

OH-10: Desiree Tims (D): $978,000 raised

OK-05: Stephanie Bice (R): $1.5 million raised

PA-01: Brian Fitzpatrick (R-inc): $900,000 raised, $1.3 million cash-on-hand; Christina Finello (D): $925,000 raised

TX-21: Wendy Davis (D): $3.4 million raised

TX-22: Sri Preston Kulkarni (D): $2.1 million raised

WA-10: Marilyn Strickland (D): $800,000 raised

Senate

LA-Sen: The super PAC Louisiana Legacy has launched a $411,000 ad buy in support of Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy, which makes it the first outside group to get involved on either side. We do not yet have a copy of the commercial.

NC-Sen: The conservative Senate Leadership Fund is up with the first TV ad of the race going after Democrat Cal Cunningham for exchanging romantic texts with a woman who is not his wife, and the Charlotte Observer reports that the super PAC is putting $4 million behind this ad campaign. The commercial features clips of reporters talking about the story before a narrator asks, “What else is he hiding?”

Polls:

NC-Sen: Both Ipsos and East Carolina University had started their polls prior to the evening of Oct. 2, when Republican Sen. Thom Tillis announced that he had tested positive for COVID-19 and Democrat Cal Cunningham confirmed that he'd sent romantic texts to a woman who was not his wife.

ECU is out with the first poll that's been released since June that gives Tillis any sort of lead, though the school has generally found the senator with better numbers than most other pollsters have.

Gubernatorial

Polls:

NH-Gov: While ARG finds Republican Gov. Chris Sununu well ahead, it's also the first firm to find a single-digit race since Dan Feltes won the Democratic primary almost a month ago. In late September, YouGov gave Sununu a 60-34 edge, while a University of New Hampshire survey completed around that same time showed the incumbent up 55-37.

House

CA-21: The NRCC is continuing to air commercials against Democratic Rep. TJ Cox focusing on tax liens, and the incumbent is up with a spot defending himself and going after Republican David Valadao's own business background.

The narrator argues that Valadao is hiding a "a business so unsafe, a worker lost his arm." The ad continues, "In Congress, Valadao secured a $ 6 million loan for his business, got sued for fraud, then stuck taxpayers with the bill." The narrator then says of the Democrat, "TJ Cox paid every penny of his taxes, built health clinics across the Central Valley, and he's fighting to make healthcare more affordable for us."

FL-18: Republican Rep. Brian Mast apologized back in August after Facebook comments from 2009 and 2011 surfaced where he joked about rape and sex with underage girls, and Democrat Pam Keith is now running a commercial on the story.

As a picture of Jeffrey Epstein appears on screen, the narrator reads out, "I'm so proud of you! I hope you hook up with at least fifteen 15-year-olds over there … it's legal there right?" and, "How about don't turn this rape into a murder." Another narrator jumps in, "No, those aren't the words of this convicted sexual predator. They're the words of disgraced Congressman Brian Mast."

Mast himself is airing a positive commercial where he appears with a woman named Harmony Allen, who tells the audience that the congressman joined her fight for justice after the man who raped her was released from prison on a technicality.  

MN-02: Republican Tyler Kistner stopped advertising almost two weeks ago after Democratic Secretary of State Steve Simon announced that this election was being postponed until February due to the death of Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate Adam Weeks, but Kistner has decided to return to the airwaves this week even though the date of this contest remains uncertain.

Kistner argues in his spot that Democratic Rep. Angie Craig backs "dangerous plans to defund the police," an idea that Craig in reality opposes. Craig, who filed a federal lawsuit last week challenging the postponement, has continued to run commercials.

MO-02: EMILY's List has launched a $835,000 ad buy, and its spot argues that Republican Rep. Ann Wagner has become extremely wealthy during her decades in politics. The narrator also goes after Wagner's special interest ties and partisan voting record.  

NJ-02: Downballot Republicans have aired relatively few ads tying their Democratic opponents to Joe Biden, so it's a bit surprising that the Congressional Leadership Fund is attempting that tactic in this South Jersey seat. The spot argues that the D.C. liberals backing Amy Kennedy are "teaming up with Biden for the largest tax increase in American history" and want to pass "a radical agenda."

New Jersey's 2nd District swung from 54-45 Obama to 51-46 Trump, but it seems to be moving back to the left. On Monday, Monmouth University released a survey that found Biden up 48-45 as Kennedy led Republican Rep. Jeff Van Drew 49-44, and Kennedy and her allies have publicized their own polls showing both her and Biden with the edge. No Republican groups, including CLF, have unveiled any numbers here, but CLF seems to be betting that the top of the ticket is in better shape.

NY-22: Republican Claudia Tenney's new commercial features audio of Donald Trump saying of the Democratic incumbent, "Anthony Brindisi turned out to be a total disaster." The audience goes on to hear Trump say that the congressman almost sounded like he was a Republican "only to betray the people of upstate New York by voting for the impeachment." Trump carried this seat 55-39 four years ago, and Brindisi has been running ads touting his ability to work across party lines.

NY-23: Democrat Tracy Mitrano has released a Public Policy Polling survey that shows Republican Rep. Tom Reed ahead only 47-40 in a contest that hasn't attracted much outside attention; the sample also favors Donald Trump just 50-45 in a western New York seat he carried 55-40 in 2016. The only other poll we've seen here was a July Mitrano internal from GSG that had Reed up 50-38.

Reed beat Mitrano 54-46 last cycle, and he's at least taking their rematch seriously enough to go on the air with a negative ad. Reed's spot ties Mitrano to Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who lost this seat 55-37 in 2018.

TX-21: The Texas Tribune reports that a newly formed conservative group called Stand With Texas has launched a TV spot attacking Democrat Wendy Davis over her 13-hour filibuster to stop an anti-abortion bill in 2013, which Davis has been talking about in her own advertisements. There is no word on the size of the buy.

Polls:

  • FL-16: Data Targeting (R) for Vern Buchanan: Vern Buchanan (R-inc): 53, Margaret Good (D): 37 (Aug.: 51-35 Buchanan)
  • NC-09: LOC Wick (D) for Left of Center PAC: Cynthia Wallace (D): 34, Dan Bishop (R-inc): 30 (54-43 Biden)

FL-16: Earlier this week, Democrat Margaret Good released an internal from GSG that showed Republican Rep. Vern Buchanan ahead by a considerably smaller 49-43 margin.

NC-09: This is the very first poll we’ve seen of the contest between Republican Rep. Dan Bishop and Democrat Cynthia Wallace, who works as a financial adviser. Neither party has been acting like this race is competitive, though, and there are some reasons to be cautious about this poll giving Wallace the edge.

The pollster asked a few issue questions before getting to the horserace that could have influenced respondents. After voters were quizzed if the country was on the right or wrong track, the 58% who said wrong were asked whether Trump or Biden was “more likely to put the country back on track?” (They overwhelmingly picked Biden.) The poll then inquired, “Do you feel safer today than you did 4 years ago,” and “How likely are the California wildfires a result of climate change” before it got to the election matchups.

This seat, which is based in the Sandhills and Charlotte suburbs, also backed Donald Trump 54-43 four years ago, so it would be quite a massive swing to the left if Biden won it by a similar amount. Finally, LOC Wick finds 37% undecided, which is a massive amount of uncommitted voters for a poll done just a month ahead of Election Day.

Mayoral

Portland, OR Mayor: The local firm DHM Research has the first poll of this contest that we’ve seen in months, and it finds urban policy consultant Sarah Iannarone beating Mayor Ted Wheeler 41-30 in the Nov. 3 race. This survey was conducted for the Portland Business Alliance, which supports the incumbent.

Wheeler outpaced Iannarone 49-24 in May’s nonpartisan race. In the months since then, though, Iannarone has argued that Wheeler and the local police have poorly handed the largely peaceful protests in Portland; the challenger even tweeted in July, "Goddamn tired of watching reporters, medics, legal observers, peaceful protesters, and, yes, vandals getting targeted, arrested & assaulted by Portland Police. F*ck you, Ted Wheeler, seriously.”

Other Races

Statewide Elections: While most races for statewide office at the non-federal level take place in midterm years, 13 different states are holding elections for 67 different posts next month. These elections cover a dozen different offices, from governor and attorney general to insurance commissioner and schools superintendent.

In total, 25 of these positions are held by Democrats and 39 by Republicans, with two positions officially nonpartisan. These figures include four lieutenant governors who are elected on a joint ticket with their state's governor.

You can see exactly which offices are up in November on this chart, which we've adapted with permission from Nathaniel Rakich's comprehensive calendar showing the timetable for statewide elections for all 50 states.

Ad Roundup

Who Wants to Blow Up Our Constitution? (Spoiler: It’s Not Trump)

By Charles Lipson for RealClearPolitics

The most profound attacks on Donald Trump are that his presidency is illegitimate and that he wants to destroy our constitutional structure.

The Democrats have leveled those accusations for four years, accompanied by charges he is a wannabe dictator, elected thanks to his good buddy, Vladimir Putin.

These frenzied charges, we now know, were invented and paid for by Hillary Clinton’s campaign, and then funneled to the U.S. government through the FBI, Department of Justice, and State Department.

Meanwhile, the CIA and then the FBI were busy spying on the Trump campaign (and, later, in the FBI’s case, on the Trump presidency), trying to find “collusion” with Russia.

Their relentless effort led to the appointment of Special Counsel Robert Mueller, whose partisan team knew almost immediately there was no proof of these damning allegations.

They should have told the public immediately.

Instead, they spent the next two years trying — and failing — to catch President Trump on a “process” crime of obstructing justice, without any underlying crime to investigate.

RELATED: Secret Report: CIA’s Brennan Overruled Dissenters Who Concluded Russia Favored Hillary

They were pursuing a person, not a crime, violating our most basic idea of legitimate law enforcement.

Trump actually cooperated fully with the collusion investigation, providing millions of otherwise-privileged documents, but he didn’t bite on a personal interview designed to catch him in a purported false statement.

(His promise to cooperate fully with Mueller’s collusion investigation was based on the special counsel’s explicit promise to complete the investigation quickly. Mueller’s team reneged on that assurance after they received all the White House documents and testimony they sought.)

Why bother trying to lure the president into a false-statement trap if you can’t indict him?

Simple: because Mueller’s team, effectively led by his zealous deputy, Andrew Weissmann, wanted to help House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, so she could impeach the president.

That effort failed because the special prosecutor’s office  didn’t come up with convincing evidence. The investigation by Pelosi acolyte Adam Schiff also failed.

As chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, Schiff had already elicited testimony, under oath, from Obama administration officials, all of whom said there was no evidence of Trump-Russia collusion.

He kept that testimony secret for two years so the public would never find out.

With these failures accumulating, Schiff’s team suddenly spied another pot of gold at the end of the rainbow: alleged malfeasance by Trump regarding Ukraine.

RELATED: Investigation: The Senate’s ‘Russian Collusion’ Report Had No Smoking Gun

It was fool’s gold, but it was enough for House Democrats, who voted to impeach the president on a party-line vote. The public wasn’t convinced.

House Democrats never won the broad support they needed to convince senators to remove a duly-elected president. How badly did this impeachment effort fail?

The Democratic National Convention, held just six months later, simply ignored the whole embarrassing episode.

Even the most rabid partisans didn’t care.

These repeated attacks may not have forced Trump out of office, but they succeeded in another way: They hobbled his presidency for four years. Today, the cumulative damage makes his reelection an uphill struggle.

So does the COVID pandemic and Trump’s response to it, which the public considers mediocre (or worse) and confusing.

Trump’s narcissism/constant self-promotion doesn’t help, either. It repels many educated voters, especially with women.

The vitriolic conflicts surrounding Donald Trump have obscured two crucial issues, which voters ought to weigh carefully as they choose the next president.

One is the difference between Trump’s impulsive, divisive personality and the policies he has actually pursued. The other is the Democrats’ threat to significantly change the structure of American government.

The two issues are intertwined since Trump’s policies are, at bottom, an effort to restore America’s traditional federal structure and limit the power of unelected officials in Washington.

His efforts to roll back the regulatory state also curtail the power of lobbyists and their powerful employers, since they hold the greatest influence over detailed rules and regulations, not general laws like tax rates.

Trump’s tweets and rambling public comments project strong, personalized, centralized power. That’s the essence of the “wannabe dictator” charge against him.

In fact, his basic policies are quite different from that self-inflated persona.

For all Trump’s braggadocio, he has tried to move the country away from Washington’s centralized control, away from control by executive branch bureaucracies (though not from the White House itself), and toward federalism and policymaking by the elected officials.

No president in modern times has waged a more sustained battle against powerful entrenched interests and their phalanx of lobbyists, who rotate in and out of government.

Trump’s most important domestic policies are aimed squarely at wresting control from these special interests and their apologists in the mainstream media.

To do so, Trump has tried to return policymaking to elected officials and senior Cabinet appointees and away from the lower-level bureaucrats, whose regulations dominate Americans’ everyday lives.

Likewise, he has tried to wrest control of the federal courts away from judges who act like unelected legislators and return them to judges who see a more modest role for themselves: interpreting laws and the Constitution as written.

Taken together, Trump’s major initiatives are an effort to restore the traditional balance between Washington and the states, between those elected to make laws and those responsible for executing them or adjudicating disputes.

Not surprisingly, these efforts have met ferocious opposition, led by liberals who established the bureaucratic behemoths in the mid-1960s, by progressives who want to expand them still further, and by interest groups that profit from these massive programs.

These disputes, not Trump’s personality, are the heart of America’s modern political divide.

Joe Biden is simply the familiar face of the old guard, repeating hoary nostrums by rote. Their last ideas died decades ago.

Their only answer now is to enlarge the programs and spend more money.

The new ideas come not from this nomenclatura but from the progressive and socialist left, who want to take giant strides toward centralized, regulatory government, paid for with higher taxes and more debt.

They are determined to redistribute wealth on an unprecedented scale and impose vast regulatory schemes, beginning with health care and energy.

RELATED: Joe Biden Vows No New Coal Or Oil Plants In America

They want to “reimagine” policing, jails, and immigration, without so much as deigning to explain why this wouldn’t result in letting violent criminals run loose in our cities and states, while opening the Southern border to an influx of illegal migrants (who would then receive the bounty of larger government welfare programs).

Since these ideas lack broad voter support, Biden is not running on them.

He is running an almost entirely on one idea: Trump is dreadful and needs to be replaced. Biden’s own prospective policies are as well hidden as the Wizard of Oz.

There are three reasons Biden and the Democrats won’t say what they will do. Despite what happened to them in 2016, they believe a purely negative campaign can win the White House.

They are betting that revulsion with Trump is that high. Second, the more Biden and Kamala Harris say, the more likely they are to alienate either progressive activists or center-left independents – and they need both groups to win.

Third, the media doesn’t press them for answers, so why give them? The mainstream media want Democrats to win, and they have behaved more like adjuncts of the Biden campaign than neutral reporters.

RELATED: CNN Reporter Complains About Trump Removing Mask – Video Shows Her Taking Mask Off Inside White House

A negative campaign does not mean the Democrats won’t enact a positive agenda if they are elected.

Senior Democrats on Capitol Hill have already floated ideas that would fundamentally alter both Congress and the courts — that is, Articles I and III of the Constitution.

To do that, they must not only win the presidency and both houses of Congress, they must change the Senate’s long-established rules, which allow a sufficiently large minority to stop radical legislation.

If that minority is 40 votes or more, its members can “filibuster” the bill and prevent its passage.

What Democrats are suggesting is they will abolish the filibuster in order to pass sweeping legislation with just 50 votes and Vice President Kamala Harris to break the tie.

RELATED: Senate Republicans Can Do What They Want, Democrats Already Shot the Hostage

Since the filibuster is a Senate rule, not a constitutional requirement, it can be changed by a simple majority as the first act of the new Senate.

With the minority neutered, a Democratic Senate could move quickly to enact their party’s agenda, just as the House would. The Senate without a filibuster would resemble the House, only with longer terms.

Those who propose these changes are weighing short-term goals: the policies they want to implement.

Whatever you think of those goals, the means they propose would eliminate a vital element of the Founders’ constitutional structure, which set up a Senate to slow (or stop) impetuous action and required large majorities to enact new laws.

Although the Founders wanted a more energetic government than the Articles of Confederation, their new structure included multiple “veto points,” plus the Bill of Rights, all designed to prevent an overly aggressive government from trampling citizens’ liberties.

Changing the Senate rules is not the only major change being floated. Democratic leaders apparently want to add two new states to the union, Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia.

The goal, obviously, is to lock in their party’s control of the Senate for years to come. Again, Democrats would need to eliminate the filibuster since all Republicans (and perhaps a few Democrats) would object.

Some Democrats also propose yet another institutional change, this one to the third branch of government.

They want to expand the Supreme Court beyond its current nine members, which it has had since 1869. Thanks to Republican presidents and Republican Senates, the court now has a conservative majority.

RELATED: It’s Starting: Democrats Introduce Bill To Limit Supreme Court Terms

Democrats have suggested packing the court with several new, liberal justices to outvote the conservatives.

Given the scope of these proposed changes, you would think the party floating them would be forced to say whether they were really determined to blow up Articles I and III of the Constitution.

In fact, they won’t say. It would be “a distraction” even to discuss it, declare Biden and Harris. The Democrats’ Senate leader won’t say, either. His coy line is that “everything is on the table.” Wink, wink. Nudge, nudge.

What about Democrats running for Senate in hard-fought races in Colorado, Arizona, North Carolina, South Carolina, Michigan, Iowa, and Maine? Have they been pressed to say yea or nay on these issues?

No.

The result is that the biggest issues lay hidden in the shadows as we enter the final stages of the election, the most consequential one of the modern era.

RELATED: Top Dem Senator Is Asked By CNN To Explain How Nomination Of Amy Coney Barrett Is ‘Illegal Or Illegitimate’ – He Can’t Do It

The institutional changes being proposed mean we are not just voting for a president, a senator, and a representative. We could be voting on the basic structure of our central government, the role of the courts, and the relationship between Washington and the states.

Yet the presidential debate said little about it. It was simply a flurry of crude interruptions, mostly by Trump, and mud-slinging by both candidates.

They never engaged each other directly on the fundamental issues. That was a travesty for the country and a missed opportunity for Trump.

We are being kept in the dark as we vote on what could be monumental changes. Let’s debate those changes openly. Turn on the damned lights.

Syndicated with permission from RealClearWire.

Charles Lipson is the Peter B. Ritzma Professor of Political Science Emeritus at the University of Chicago, where he founded the Program on International Politics, Economics, and Security. He can be reached at charles.lipson@gmail.com.

The post Who Wants to Blow Up Our Constitution? (Spoiler: It’s Not Trump) appeared first on The Political Insider.

Sen. Pat Toomey to retire from politics in blow to GOP

Republican Sen. Pat Toomey formally announced Monday he will neither run for reelection nor run for governor in 2022, a major blow to Republicans' long-term plans of competing statewide in Pennsylvania.

Toomey explained the curious timing of his announcement as a reaction to all the inquiries he’d received about running for either the governor’s office or reelection. The two-term fiscal conservative said he decided within the past few days to bow out of politics and head to the private sector and decided to disclose his plans in the middle of the 2020 presidential campaign because he wanted to be transparent.

"I've made a decision, it's not going to change, and I want everybody to know," Toomey said. He informed Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) before his announcement, according to a source briefed on the conversation. The news leaked out Sunday, and was first reported by The Philadelphia Inquirer and confirmed by POLITICO.

Toomey said he supports President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign and would be open to serving as a surrogate and campaigning for a president whom he didn’t endorse until Election Day in 2016: “I hope to be serving these last two years with President Donald Trump reelected. I support his campaign, I support his reelection."

He also said he is "cautiously optimistic" his party would retain its majority at the ballot box this fall amid a fierce battle for the Senate, which would make him Senate Banking Committee chair for his last two years.

Toomey is the only statewide elected Republican politician in office in the Keystone State, though it remains a presidential battleground and top target for both parties. Trump, however, is trailing in the state by significant margins and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) was easily reelected in 2018, suggesting a tough road ahead for Republicans winning statewide.

The two-term senator and former House member asserted that “if I decided to run I would have won again.” Toomey defeated Democrat Katie McGinty in 2016 by 1.5 percentage points, a victory that helped provide McConnell’s six-year majority that he’s now in danger of losing. He said the realization that he will have spent 18 of 24 years as a politician drove his decision to return to the private sector.

Toomey's move also puts Republicans at an immediate disadvantage as they survey the 2022 Senate landscape.

Pickup opportunities for the GOP may be limited to Democratic-leaning states like New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada as well as whoever wins this year's Arizona Senate election. By contrast, Republicans will have have to defend Toomey's seat as well as seats held by Sens. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), Richard Burr (R-N.C.), Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Roy Blunt (R-Mo.). Burr has already announced he will retire.

And while Toomey’s retirement is a loss for the Republican Party, it also will leave a void in the Senate, where Toomey remains something of an outlier. Though a die-hard fiscal conservative, Toomey occasionally broke with his party. He is one of just two Senate Republicans still serving that supports expanded background checks on gun sales and is the only member of his conference to oppose Trump’s new trade deal with Mexico and Canada.

His responses to reporters in the Senate hallways are often curt as he dashes from his office to the Senate floor, but he’s also been among the most willing Republicans to criticize Trump, sometimes mildly and other times with gusto. Toomey loathes many of Trump’s tariffs and trade policies, voted to block Trump’s national emergency declaration at the border and said “commuting Roger Stone’s sentence is a mistake.”

Toomey also called Trump’s actions during his impeachment trial “inappropriate,” though he voted to acquit the president. But though he's clearly not entirely comfortable with the style of the brash president, Toomey said Trump’s conduct had no bearing on his own decision-making.

“I decided early on I am not responsible for the president’s Twitter feed, I am not responsible for editing his comments in any given medium. I work with this president on a regular basis, it’s a very constructive relationship,” Toomey told reporters. “When I’ve disagreed with him, which I have, I haven’t been bashful about saying so. But that has nothing to do with this decision.”

Posted in Uncategorized

Republicans gripped by dread as multiple crises swirl

On Sunday evening, Sen. Lindsey Graham, like many Republicans in Washington, was simultaneously monitoring three political crises, all of which were made worse by the spread of coronavirus infections through the upper echelons of the Republican Party.

First, there was the president. His real condition was as much of a mystery to Graham as to everyone else. Graham said he hadn’t talked to Trump since Friday after the president’s positive Covid-19 test came back — “he was in good spirits” — but that he had just checked in with Jared Kushner earlier in the day to get an update.

Then there was the Supreme Court. The virus has forced six Republican senators — three of whom have tested positive for Covid — into quarantine for at least two weeks. Two of them, Thom Tillis and Mike Lee, are on the Senate Judiciary Committee, which Graham chairs. His plans to push through the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett were now uncertain. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said over the weekend that “our biggest enemy” in confirming Barrett before the election, and cementing a conservative 6-3 high court majority, is “the coronavirus, keeping everybody healthy and well and in place to do our job.”

Trump had immediately recognized how the “enemy” could derail the plan. On Friday, Graham said Trump asked him about Barrett and the senator assured him “we’re moving on.”

Finally, Graham was dealing with his own reelection. The South Carolina senator who famously declared in 2015 that Trump was a “complete idiot,” became a Trump loyalist over the past two years in part to fend off GOP primary challengers. It worked. He easily secured his party’s nomination only to be thrust into a competitive general election against a well-financed and gifted Democratic candidate, Jaime Harrison, who has made the race competitive. The two men had debated on Saturday night and Graham was still trying to make sense of how it went.

“Jaime is a smart guy,” Graham said. “He held his own and we’ll see what happens.”

Graham is still favored to win, but the fact that a Democrat is within striking distance of victory in South Carolina underscores how fragile the GOP’s Senate majority is.

As Graham spoke, Trump popped up on a TV screen in a slow-motion video that captured him in the rear seat of a black Suburban, on a ride to thank supporters gathered outside Walter Reed hospital.

“He’s had like five presidencies when you think about it,” Graham said. There was a “reset” after each one. He mentioned the Russia investigation, impeachment, the outbreak of the pandemic, and now Trump’s own infection. Technically, that’s four — one could easily add the recession — but the senator’s point is valid: Cataclysmic news events that might define a presidency come and go in the Trump era and it’s not always clear what will have lasting impact.

Trump’s Republican critics have long argued that he was a virus infecting their party that would eventually destroy it. Trump skeptics-turned-supporters, which could describe most Washington Republicans, made a different calculation: If the worst elements of Trump could be contained, then Republicans could keep a Democrat out of the White House, lock in a majority on the Supreme Court and protect their redoubt in the Senate. Even before Trump’s diagnosis, the cost of the deal with Trump was starting to look high. But the path to pushing through Barrett and retaining the Senate and even White House was hardly insurmountable.

That an actual virus has now infected Trump, his wife, his campaign manager, the head of the Republican National Committee, several advisers, and three senators — many of them at a celebration of Barrett’s nomination — thus throwing all three of the GOP’s 2020 goals into chaos, is a plot twist that would be rejected by any writer as just a little too on the nose.

“Trump has done more to derail the Barrett nomination than any Democrat,” said one dejected former senior White House official. “They are screwing themselves, that’s for sure.”

As grim as the exercise might be, Republicans across Washington are trying to game out the politics of the president’s illness. “I don’t know exactly how this plays,” Graham said. “I’m hoping the president recovers fully and quickly.” He noted that several world leaders have recovered from coronavirus without major interruptions and that Woodrow Wilson caught the Spanish flu (though it was after his reelection).

The thinking among Republicans about the potential scenarios they might face over the next few weeks range from this could actually help Trump to we are on the cusp of partywide catastrophe.

Graham, always an optimist, is in the former camp.

“This is a chance for him, quite frankly, to talk about the human side of this: ‘This is tough, this is hard, we’re gonna get through it,’” he said. “If he comes out of this thing a little bit humbled and focused on speeding up vaccines and trying to safely reopen the country, then I think he’ll probably be OK.”

In the videos and statements he released over the weekend, Trump already tried to recast his illness in terms akin to what Graham recommends.

“We’re going to beat this coronavirus, or whatever you want to call it, and we’re going to beat it soundly,” he said on Saturday. “If you look at the therapeutics, which I’m taking right now, some of them, and others are coming out soon that are frankly like miracles.”

Other Republicans are floating the idea that illness could unleash a wave of empathy for the president. “If he comes back to the White House and he’s seen as being fully recovered, 10 days from now or two weeks from now, he’s debating or he’s back on the road, I think it could be a positive,” said a Republican close to the president. “I think it could make him more human and he can relate to the 7 million people or so that have come down with it.”

A close cousin of the empathy argument is that defeating the virus could serve to underscore another alleged Trump trait: his virility. “I think the president’s strongest attribute has always been his strength,” said Chris Ruddy, a friend of Trump and CEO of Newsmax. Even if people disagree with him here and there on issues, “they like that he’s strong and I think we see this during Covid, he’s exhibiting strength.”

Other Republicans, used to seeing Trump slip out of hairy situations that would destroy most politicians — the "Access Hollywood" tape, impeachment — practically yawn at the turn of events. “We’ve seen that time after time,” said a White House official discussing whether this would blow over. “I don’t know if this would be any different but we’ll see.”

On the other side of the spectrum, many Republicans said the reckless way in which Trump traveled, held big rallies, and refused to consistently wear a mask or encourage his supporters to do so as catastrophic.

“Today feels like the election’s over,” said a veteran Republican strategist who, like others in the party, requested anonymity to speak candidly. “The polls have dropped all last week everywhere, it just feels like the end is near. And I don’t know what they can do to rehabilitate it until he gets better. There’s too many seniors who think he’s been irresponsible and this all started when he politicized the coronavirus. It started back in April and May, but it’s really peaking now.”

A senior Republican congressional official spoke for many by arguing that the handling of the issue over the weekend was “incredibly worrying,” but that it was too early to judge whether the issue further jeopardizes Trump’s reelection chances, the Barrett nomination or GOP control of the Senate.

“Do people show sympathy because he’s sick and is trying to battle through this?” he asked. “Or do they say, ‘You’re the president and if you had taken common sense precautions there’s no way you would have gotten sick.’ If it becomes, ‘You are reckless and this is the metaphor for how reckless he was,’ then we’re facing a tsunami. But it’s too early.”

The official added one caveat, a scenario that he believed would crush the GOP on Nov. 3.

“If the White House lied about the timeline and he went to events and was around people knowing he was Covid-positive,” he said. “I think that is the single biggest thing that would resonate with regular people in terms of how irresponsible he was — if he put other people in danger.”

He added, “That could turn this into a death spiral.”

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Chris Rock Blasts President On ‘SNL’ – ‘Trump Is In The Hospital With COVID…My Heart Goes Out To COVID’

While hosting the season premiere of “Saturday Night Live” last night, the comedian Chris Rock used his opening monologue to take a shot President Donald Trump over his COVID-19 diagnosis.

Rock Mocks Trump’s COVID Diagnosis

Rock described the president’s diagnosis as the “elephant in the room” before adding that his heart went out to COVID, referring to Trump’s medical condition.

Before we even get started, let’s — you know, hey, the elephant in the room: President Trump’s in the hospital from COVID, and I just want to say my heart goes out to COVID,” Rock said. “This is a special show this show is quite different than every other show.”

“There are so many protocols — everybody in this audience has been checked, and all week I’ve had things going up my nose,” he added. “Every day I come in here — I haven’t had so much stuff up my nose since I shared a dressing room with Chris Farley.”

“Now, you know,  the world is insane right now,” the comedian added. “But one thing we can agree upon, COVID, has ruined our plans. We all used to have plans before COVID. Remember we all used to have plans?”

“My sister was getting married, man,” Rock said. “I paid Bel Biv Devoe $80,000, man. And I can’t get it back. I had tickets to Coachella, man. I know 200,000 Americans are dead, but I’m not seeing Rage Against the Machine this year, man. That is a travesty.”

RELATED: Chris Rock Says Democrats ‘Let The Pandemic Come In’ While They Were Obsessed With Impeachment

Rock Talks American Government

Later in his monologue, Rock said that everything that has happened as of late should make America rethink its relationship with government.

“I think Joe Biden should be the last president ever,” Rock said. “I mean, do we even need a president president?”

“I mean, what job do you have for four years no matter what?” he asked. “Show me one job. Like if you hired a cook and he was making people vomit every day, do you sit there and go, ‘Well, he’s got a four-year deal. We’ve just got to vomit for four more years.’”

“You realize there’s more rules to a game show than running for president? Like Donald Trump left a game show to run for president because it was easier,” Rock joked. “You can’t just throw your son on Jeopardy, or your son-in-law. Steve Harvey can’t put his family on Family Feud.”

READ NEXT: Trump’s Positive Coronavirus Test Leads To Vile Attacks By Critics

This piece was written by James Samson on October 4, 2020. It originally appeared in LifeZette and is used by permission.

Read more at LifeZette:
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White House Physician Gives Update On Trump And Melania After Their Diagnoses – Reveals President’s Treatment Plan
CNN’s Don Lemon Openly Gloats About Trump’s COVID Diagnosis – Blames President For Getting It

The post Chris Rock Blasts President On ‘SNL’ – ‘Trump Is In The Hospital With COVID…My Heart Goes Out To COVID’ appeared first on The Political Insider.

Dems Want To Be In Control So Badly, Their Screw-Ups Are Becoming Legendary

There is no single problem in America that is not either caused by or made worse by the Democratic Party.

The irony is that we pay (taxes) to maintain the Democratic Party. The Party’s liberalism cannot fund itself.

Liberalism generates no wealth, much less any surplus. It uses taxpayer-financed programs to buy votes.

All that the Democratic Party brings to America’s ‘table’ is redistribution and ‘need.’ All it needs is a wealthy host and a news media to lie for it.

Its action in the streets and the Congress clarifies that they see the Constitution as an impediment.

The ‘Rule of Law’ is a ‘Lawfare‘ tool to the left.

READ: McMaster Dismisses Wolf Blitzer’s Claim That Military Would Remove Trump If He Doesn’t Concede

Every talking point, from race to economics, education, and applying the law that makes up the mantras of the Left can be factually refuted.

Without the pro-Democrat News Media’s selective outrage, lies, and convenient omissions, there would be no Democratic Party. Reality would crush them.

The irony continues with the Democrat’s anti-Business and anti-growth orientation.

They see Capitalism as the problem which liberalism defends us from. The truth is that without Capitalism, the Democratic Party’s vote-buying liberalism would starve to death.

It’s clear to me: The only existential danger to America and the Constitution is the Democratic Party and those who vote to enable it.

Democrats Want To Be In Control

The only thing the Dems care about is getting back in control of the federal government again.

And they don’t seem to care how many buildings get burned down or how many bodies they have to step over to get that power back.

Once they get back in power, I predict they’ll radically change the entire system to make sure they never lose another election ever again.

After that, they can drive the entire country straight into the ground, and nobody will be able to stop them.

Think: eliminate the Electoral College, popular vote elections, ballot harvesting, national mail-in voting, stack the Supreme Court with radical activist Judges, pay reparations, confiscate firearms, and open up the borders.

The Jig Is Up

From where I’m standing, it’s plain that the Democrats are blinded by their hatred of everything good, wholesome, lovely, etc., and so blinded that they project their evil intent on others (for example: Republicans want to push granny off the cliff).

Because of this, they cannot anticipate consequences like we usually do. I know that, if I throw a brick at a cop, I’m going to jail.

They think they are immune from reality.

Burning down buildings and then the buildings and businesses magically reappear? True, in their world.

READ: Supreme Court Pick 2020: The Dems Can’t Win For Losing, And It’s Hilarious

Since they loathe any military/police, they cannot conceive of the possibility that these entities may be used to round them up and put them before a judge.

My most fervent wish is that trials for sedition would begin and move swiftly. After all, our wishes should be honored.

Pelosi Knows That It’s Over

Watching Rep. Nancy Pelosi during her weekly press briefing only shows me that it’s obvious that she is seeing the death of the Democrat Party.

Nancy’s last resort was another impeachment, but I think she only backed off on that because Democrats would remove her for it. Such a move would endanger every Democrat’s reelection on November 3rd.

I’m convinced something big has happened in the House behind the scenes, and Pelosi is visibly shaken by it.

READ: Trump Accuses Biden of Being Anti-Police, Surrendering to Flag Burners and Arsonists

Americans Are Waking Up

People are not taking the veiled threats to burn cities down if they don’t win the White House very well.

The threats are backfiring, and the Democrats must be seeing this in the polls.

President Trump will not lay down and let Democrats steal the election by mail-in ballot box stuffing.

He is not going to hand America over to Communists, especially if it’s due to the results of a stolen election.

If Martial Law is declared, a proper, in-person, ID-required election can be held within 30 days, and we can have the results of a fair, legal, and documented election before Christmas!

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