Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Time for Senator Menendez to go

Will Bunch/The Philadelphia Inquirer:

Why GOP doesn’t want Menendez to quit

Even Wyatt Earp says that New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez needs to go. That’s the Ocean County, N.J., Democratic Party chairman (who did you think I was talking about?), who joined a posse of Garden State Democrats this weekend when he declared with a “heavy heart” that the state’s twice-indicted senior U.S. senator should step aside “to make room for a senator who will continue to stand up for Democratic values.”

A majority of Democratic senators join Earp in saying that Menendez should spend more time with his family at home.

Republicans, on the other hand, don’t want to be asked about Donald Trump (or George Santos), so they say nothing.

Hard to find a quote that better summarizes how Obamanomics =/= Bidenomics pic.twitter.com/1MEZJeCY1z

— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) September 26, 2023

Detroit Free Press:

Biden walks picket line with striking UAW members at Willow Run parts center

Wearing a UAW hat and speaking through a bullhorn, Biden tells workers they helped save the auto companies with their sacrifices. "Now they’re doing incredibly well and, guess what, you should be doing incredibly well too."

Fain speaks after Biden, saying, "This is a historic moment."

Fain also thanked Biden for coming, a significant gesture, given that the union hasn't yet endorsed the president in his reelection bid, when most other major unions have done so. "Thank you, Mr. President," he said, "for coming... to stand up with us in our generation's defining moment.

Ok, total props to Biden—he didn’t just speechify, he is walking damn line. In solidarity, Scranton Joe—we know that’s partly a shtick, but you earned it today! https://t.co/8IIaAz33Qy

— Richard Yeselson (@yeselson) September 26, 2023

David Rothkopf/The Daily Beast:

Ask the GOP Debaters if They Support Trump’s Open Fascism

Trump called for executions and media censorship over the weekend. Make his Republican opponents stand up and choose a side.

Donald Trump lost his damn mind this weekend. Or to be more accurate, he revealed more clearly than usual the madman wannabe dictator that lurks within him. But for all that, he did one thing that seemed impossible. He created the opportunity for this Wednesday’s Republican debate to seem relevant.

Admittedly, a debate among a pack of spineless nonentities (who have no more chance of being president than you or I) probably deserves scrutiny from the Food and Drug Administration as a form of broadcast Klonopin. If you even bother to tune in, it is likely to put you to sleep in minutes.

W/ Biden and Trump both courting auto workers in MI today, a quick refresher on auto industry jobs created/month under recent presidents. *Clinton: 1,800 *Bush: -5,800 *Obama: 2,800 *Trump (pre-Covid): 600 *Trump (total): -200 *Biden: 4,000 pic.twitter.com/zOanbsV0P6

— Jim Tankersley (@jimtankersley) September 26, 2023

Charlie Sykes/The Bulwark:

Biden Is Old, But Trump Is Crazy (and Dangerous)

Plus: Why you should be alarmed. But not panicked.

In the last few days, the leading GOP candidate for president — the twice impeached, defeated former president, who is facing four criminal indictments — suggested the execution of General Mark Milley; demanded a federal shutdown unless the prosecutions against him are defunded; called on all Senate Democrats to resign; and threatened to use the powers of the federal government to retaliate against news outlets like NBC that had criticized him.

This is the same former president who has called for terminating provisions of the Constitution; orchestrated a coup to overturn the last presidential election; and absconded with military secrets. Lest you have forgotten, he has also been found liable for rape; and faces more than 90 felony counts for (among other things) paying off a porn star, conspiracy, obstruction, and defrauding the federal government.

And just a few days ago, we got a new report reminding us of the depths of the former president’s contempt for disabled and wounded veterans

No I'm not watching the debate. No I'm not writing on it. No, it's not important. Trump threatening to execute the former joint chiefs chairman is important. I'll write about that.

— Jennifer Truthful, Not Neutral Rubin (@JRubinBlogger) September 26, 2023

Eric Levitz/New York Magazine:

Trump Wants His Enemies to Fear for Their Lives

In this context, a news outlet can cover Trump’s affronts to democracy. But it can’t quite internalize them. For such a publication to fully behave as though it has a working memory — and a capacity to rationally weigh the significance of disparate pieces of information — would be for it to resemble a partisan rag.

The most salient truth about the 2024 election is that the Republican Party is poised to nominate an authoritarian thug who publishes rationalizations for political violence and promises to abuse presidential authority on a near-daily basis. There is no way for a paper or news channel to appropriately emphasize this reality without sounding like a shrill, dull, Democratic propaganda outlet. So, like the nation writ large, the press comports itself as an amnesiac, or an abusive household committed to keeping up appearances, losing itself in the old routines, in an effortful approximation of normality until it almost forgets what it doesn’t want to know.

Carlton Huffman/Milwaukee Journal Sentinel:

I helped elect 3 Republicans to Wisconsin Supreme Court. I can't support impeachment.

There is a disease that has afflicted right wing politics since President Obama’s re-election in 2012: The belief that outcomes are rigged.

As a regional director in the WOW counties (Waukesha, Ozaukee, and Washington) I did my part to help Rebecca Bradley defeat JoAnne Kloppenberg in 2016. In 2017 as grassroots director I was witness to the layup that was Chief Justice Annette Ziegler’s victory. And in 2019, I was part of the team that poured heart and soul to seeing Brian Hagedorn win a seemingly impossible race. It has been the labor of my professional life to see a conservative majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court. However it is exactly the principles of small government conservatism that drives me to oppose the impeachment of Protasiewicz.

NEW: OVER HALF of Sen Dems have now called on Menendez to resign: FETTERMAN BROWN TESTER WELCH WARREN HEINRICH CASEY ROSEN KELLY BOOKER BALDWIN BENNET KLOBUCHAR GILLIBRAND HIRONO MARKEY HASSAN WARNOCK PETERS SANDERS BLUMENTHAL MURPHY DUCKWORTH HICKENLOOPER STABENOW OSSOFF

— Nathaniel Reed (@ReedReports) September 26, 2023

Richard L. Hasen/The Atlantic:

The Supreme Court Needs to Make a Call on Trump’s Eligibility

The question of the former president’s possible disqualification needs to be resolved sooner or later. Sooner is better than later.

Those are the legal questions. The political questions are, in some ways, even more complicated, and at least as contested. If Trump is disqualified on Fourteenth Amendment grounds, some believe that this would become a regular feature of nasty American politics. Others worry that significant social unrest would result if the leading candidate for one of the country’s major political parties were to be disqualified from running for office rather than giving voters the final say on the issue.

All of these questions, however, are somewhat beside the point. This is not merely an academic exercise. Trump, right now, is already being challenged as constitutionally disqualified, and these issues are going to have to be resolved, sooner or later. My point is that sooner is much better than later.

"And yet, none of the nation’s front pages blared “Trump Suggests That Top General Deserves Execution” or “Former President Accuses General of Treason.”https://t.co/gJtoh5BqP4

— John Dickerson (@jdickerson) September 25, 2023

Roll Call:

Military pay, typically exempted during shutdowns, is at risk

Lawmakers have bills ready that would ensure troops and civilian support employees get paychecks on time

Technically, there’s still time. Former Rep. Mike Coffman, R-Colo., introduced the bill on Sept. 28, 2013; it passed the House at 12:24 a.m. on the 29th. The following day, the last full day of government funding, the Senate took just a few minutes to clear the measure by unanimous consent. President Barack Obama signed it that night, just before the shutdown was set to begin.

Despite that unanimous 2013 House vote, there were plenty of Democrats who took to the floor to blast the GOP for allowing the shutdown to happen and leaving every other agency’s employees in the lurch.

“We are all going to vote for this bill,” then-House Minority Whip Steny H. Hoyer, D-Md., said during brief debate. “But I will tell my friends on both sides of the aisle, it is time for us to give respect to our non-uniformed federal personnel because they are critical to the success of this country, to the success of our people.”

Bolts Magazine:

Maine Referendum Spotlights Voting Rights for People Under Guardianship

Voters in November will choose whether to scrub a clause in Maine’s constitution disenfranchising people “under guardianship for reasons of mental illness."

Maine is already closer to universal suffrage than most states. It’s one of two states, plus Washington D.C., that is approaching universal suffrage. Maine allows people to vote from prison and state law affirms the voting rights of people with intellectual disabilities, autism, and brain injuries. That makes this clause stand out—it treats mentally ill people under guardianship as second-class citizens, which is precisely why the court ruled it unconstitutional.

“We are creating a subset of mentally ill people under guardians who can’t vote,” Democratic State Senator Craig Hickman, who spearheaded the effort to put the matter to the vote, told Bolts. Hickman, a voting rights advocate, has also been involved in other measures to remove outdated language from Maine’s constitution. “I think it’s important to ratify this amendment. [We need to] make it clear that in this state we have no reason to disenfranchise.”

The strategy here is bewildering. They're moving bills that don't have the votes in hopes that the failure of some or all of those bills will then create room to pass a CR that 10+ Republicans have said they categorically oppose. How does failing at everything prevent a shutdown? https://t.co/CkOsuAd5So

— Aaron Fritschner (@Fritschner) September 26, 2023

So Gaetz is reliant upon Dems to support his move against a fellow Republican. Unless of course they refuse to align with Gaetz, in which case it’s proof positive aforementioned Republican is reliant upon Dems. Got it? Brilliant stuff going on here. https://t.co/jc1V1RtHDx

— Josh Holmes (@HolmesJosh) September 26, 2023

With four days to go until a shutdown, Democrats finally have what they’ve so far lacked: a Senate-passable bill to jam the flailing House with. This looks very different than the debt limit fight, when House passed a bill and Senate couldn’t, giving McCarthy leverage. Not now.

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) September 27, 2023

Cliff Schecter on Taylor Swift:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Totalitarianism on the march in the United States

ProPublica:

Wisconsin’s Republicans Went to Extremes in Gerrymandering. Now They’re Scrambling to Protect That Power.

Heavily redrawn election districts in the battleground state gave Republicans firm control of the legislature — and the leeway to move aggressively against officials and judges they perceive as threats.

The new maps have given Wisconsin Republicans the leeway to move aggressively on perceived threats to their power. The GOP-controlled Senate recently voted to fire the state’s nonpartisan elections chief, Meagan Wolfe, blaming her for pandemic-era voting rules that they claim helped Joe Biden win the state in 2020. A legal battle over Wolfe’s firing now looms.

The future of a newly elected state supreme court justice, Janet Protasiewicz, also is in doubt. Her election in April shifted the balance of the court to the left and put the Wisconsin maps in peril. Republican leaders have threatened to impeach her if she does not recuse herself from a case that seeks to invalidate the maps drawn by the GOP. They argue that she’s biased because during her campaign she told voters the maps are “rigged.”

“They are rigged, period. Coming right out and saying that. I don’t think you could sell to any reasonable person that the maps are fair,” she said at a January candidates forum.

She added: “I can't ever tell you what I’m going to do on a particular case, but I can tell you my values, and common sense tells you that it’s wrong.”

The Bully Pulpit doesn't work. Not for Biden, Trump, Obama or Bush. But the press will not let it go. https://t.co/e3w7L0oMtR

— David Karol (@DKarol) September 24, 2023

New York Times:

As Trump Prosecutions Move Forward, Threats and Concerns Increase

As criminal cases proceed against the former president, heated rhetoric and anger among his supporters have authorities worried about the risk of political dissent becoming deadly.

At the Federal Bureau of Investigation, agents have reported concerns about harassment and threats being directed at their families amid intensifying anger among Trump supporters about what they consider to be the weaponization of the Justice Department. “Their children didn’t sign up for this,” a senior F.B.I. supervisor recently testified to Congress.

And the top prosecutors on the four criminal cases against Mr. Trump — two brought by the Justice Department and one each in Georgia and New York — now require round-the-clock protection.

New York Times:

The Wrecking-Ball Caucus: How the Far Right Brought Washington to Its Knees

Right-wing Republicans who represent a minority in their party and in Congress have succeeded in sowing mass dysfunction, spoiling for a shutdown, an impeachment and a House coup

Defying the G.O.P.’s longstanding reputation as the party of law and order, they have pledged to handcuff the F.B.I. and throttle the Justice Department. Members of the party of Ronald Reagan refused to meet with a wartime ally, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine, this week when he visited the Capitol and want to eliminate assistance to his country, a democratic nation under siege from an autocratic aggressor.

And they are unbowed by guardrails that in past decades forced consensus even in the most extreme of conflicts; this is the same bloc that balked at raising the debt ceiling in the spring to avert a federal debt default.

“There is a group of Republican members who seem to feel there is no limit at all as to how you can wreck the system,” said Ross K. Baker, a professor of political science at Rutgers University. “There are no boundaries, no forbidden zones. They go where relatively junior members have feared to tread in the past.”

A lot of people say “Biden’s age is a problem that can’t be fixed.” Well, according to the 50 folks i talked to, it probably can!

— Adam Bass (@AdamBassOfMass) September 24, 2023

Brian Beutler/”Off Message” on Substack (inaugural post):

Welcome to Off Message

Refuge from a world gone mad

Many of my formative political memories and experiences as a political journalist date back to the late George W. Bush years, which in hindsight feels like a more innocent time. But that’s only by comparison to 2023, when social media is ubiquitous and distorting, Americans are awash in propaganda, and one of the country’s two major political parties has embraced a totalitarian kind of dishonesty, which back then it was only flirting with.

The truth is the old days weren’t so innocent. Two misbegotten wars—one completely lawless—had become quagmires, the United States had become synonymous internationally with torture and warrantless spying, and the world was on the brink of an era-defining economic calamity. But all of that coexisted with a bracing sense that most people had caught on to the malice and failures of the country’s leaders, were eager to rise against them, and confident enough in their righteousness that they were willing to air their internal differences without fear or favor. Or at least with less fear or favor than now.

To put it in more partisan terms, Democrats were tired of losing and ready to fight. Fifteen years ago, it seemed natural rather than heretical that new ideas and leaders should challenge older ones, and Democrats had more confidence to confront Republicans directly across a range of liabilities. They correctly identified a “culture of corruption” that had run rampant in the Bush years, and exposed much of it on their march back to power. They didn’t reflexively close ranks around whichever leaders felt most safe—far from it, one of the big reasons Barack Obama challenged Hillary Clinton for the presidency, and was able to win the nomination, is because Nancy Pelosi (who was then House speaker) and Harry Reid (who was then Senate majority leader) encouraged him to run. Liberals argued in a freewheeling way about the candidates they supported, without panicking that they might undermine the cause of change.

That whole spirit is gone.

One of the co-chairs of Blue Dog Caucus visited the UAW picket line in Beaverton, Oregon, on Saturday. She represents southwest Washington across the Columbia River but many of her constituents work at the distribution center in Beaverton. https://t.co/cqZazCtslN

— Daniel Marans (@danielmarans) September 24, 2023

NBC:

Poll: Overwhelming majorities express concerns about Biden, Trump ahead of 2024 race

Trump's lead has expanded in the GOP presidential contest, while Biden and Trump are tied in a hypothetical general election matchup.
“Yes, the numbers for Biden aren’t where he needs them to be,” said Horwitt, the Democratic pollster. “But the lens for most voters is still through Donald Trump first.”

The above is what most polling is showing (a close race). Some polling thoughts on an outlier (they themselves say so) Washington Post poll that had a big lead for trump over Biden:

This is the responsible, intellectually honest way to handle results that look different from other polling (which happens!). Don't ignore it (that's how we get herding), but do provide readers with the context of other available data.https://t.co/pk7qMLnt9M

— Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy) September 24, 2023

Washington Post: We’re pretty sure these numbers are wrong but here’s a front-page story with 30 inches of copy about them, anyway, because these polls aren’t cheap. https://t.co/Cr8mBMzcWY

— Robert Mann (@RTMannJr) September 24, 2023

The poll is problematic on multiple fronts, but let’s just take the most obvious - Trump who has NEVER garnered over 47%, who has never had a majority behind him is some how now garnering 51% of the vote. Come on guys… it’s stuff like this that hurts the entire industry. Stop it https://t.co/w4Hz6Z1n3G

— Cornell Belcher (@cornellbelcher) September 24, 2023

don’t make me tap the sign https://t.co/heepz5j1Gt

— G Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) September 24, 2023

It’s still too early to worry about 2024 polls. Worry about elections.

WTKR:

Early voting kicks off in Virginia with abortion as major issue for voters

Early voting has kicked off in Virginia with every seat of the General Assembly on the ballot this fall.

On Friday morning, it got off to a calm start at the Virginia Beach Registrar's office.

Democrats held a small rally outside to discuss the issues they find important this year.

"Reproductive freedom is on the ballot," said Michael Feggans, the Democratic nominee in the 97th House of Delegates district. "Support of our public schools and education is on the ballot. Making sure we're taking care of our veterans is on the ballot."

On Senator Robert Menendez, D-NJ and indicted on corruption charges:

Menendez apparently plans to run for reelection w/o Democratic support. In the 2018 primary, an unknown, unsupported candidate got almost 40% against him, after he survived a far less-serious corruption trial. That time, he had the many advantages that came w his party's backing.

— Matt Friedman (@MattFriedmanNJ) September 24, 2023

Matt Robison and Daniel Cox on Trump’s polling status:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Kevin McCarthy is still not in control of the House

Vanity Fair:

The Exquisite Agony of Being Kevin McCarthy

“You talk to pretty much any lawmaker on the Hill, and there’s sort of just an acceptance, reluctant though it might be, but an acceptance that there will be a shutdown,” says [Abigail] Tracy, as a group of “rogue Republicans” keeps “making demands, shifting the goalposts, but nothing is going to placate them.”

Bomb throwers like Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Lauren Boebert are “not serious people,” says [John] Harwood, a Polis Distinguished Fellow at Duke University. “They’re on television, they have podcasts or whatever,” he adds, “but they’re not built to do what politicians have to do to make government work.”

link to podcast

Paul Krugman/The New York Times:

Why Kevin McCarthy Can’t Do His Job

The speaker of the House is the only congressional officer mentioned in the Constitution, other than a temporary Senate officer to preside when the vice president can’t. The speaker’s job isn’t defined, but surely it includes passing legislation that keeps the federal government running.

But Kevin McCarthy, the current speaker, isn’t doing that job. Indeed, at this point it’s hard to see how he can pass any bill maintaining federal funding, let alone one the Senate, controlled by Democrats, will agree to. So we seem to be headed for a federal shutdown at the end of this month, with many important government activities suspended until further notice.

Why? McCarthy is a weak leader, especially compared with Nancy Pelosi, his formidable predecessor. But even a superb leader would probably be unable to transcend the dynamics of a party that has been extremist for a generation but has now gone beyond extremism to nihilism.

And yes, this is a Republican problem. Any talk about dysfunction in “Congress,” or “partisanship,” simply misinforms the public. Crises like the one McCarthy now faces didn’t happen under Pelosi, even though she also had a very narrow majority. I’ll come back to that contrast. First, let me make a different comparison — between the looming shutdown of 2023 and the shutdowns of 1995-96, when Newt Gingrich was speaker.

News — Schumer tells me he and McConnell are in talks and will try to cut a deal to keep government open — amid deep divisions in the House and McCarthy’s struggle to get 218 votes. He says he is pushing for Ukraine aid, setting up showdown with speaker. https://t.co/aeJTHRpJNm

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) September 22, 2023

CNN:

Biden leads Trump in potential New Hampshire rematch, though dissatisfaction with both remains high

An early read of a New Hampshire rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump gives the incumbent president the advantage, amid signs that anger toward Trump could outweigh dampened enthusiasm for another Biden term, according to a new CNN/University of New Hampshire poll.

About 6 in 10 New Hampshire residents, 62%, say they would be dissatisfied or worse if Trump retook the presidency – with most, 56%, expressing outright anger at the prospect. A 56% majority say they’d be dissatisfied or worse if Biden won reelection, but fewer, 38%, say they’d be angry. About one-fifth say they’d be less than satisfied with either scenario

NEW: a recent study found a fascinating pattern People are becoming more zero-sum in their thinking, and weaker economic growth may explain why Older generations grew up with high growth and formed aspirational attitudes; younger ones have faced low growth and are more zero-sum pic.twitter.com/yXFhjHBMV2

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) September 22, 2023

John Burn-Murdoch/Financial Times:

Are we destined for a zero-sum future?

A backdrop of slower economic growth may be shaping attitudes of tomorrow that cut across political divides
Please use the sharing tools found via the share button at the top or side of articles. Copying articles to share with others is a breach ofFT.com T&Cs and Copyright Policy. Email licensing@ft.com to buy additional rights. Subscribers may share up to 10 or 20 articles per month using the gift article service. More information can be found here. https://www.ft.com/content/980cbbe2-0f5d-4330-872d-c7a9d6a97bf6 You wouldn’t typically think of affirmative action advocates and anti-immigration nativists as being bedfellows. The former group skews young and is composed overwhelmingly of progressives, and the latter skews old and conservative. But according to a fascinating new study out of Harvard University, they have one significant thing in common: a predilection for zero-sum thinking, or the belief that for one group to gain, another must lose.The same way of thinking crops up on all manner of issues that cut across traditional political divides. Roughly equal numbers of US Democrats and Republicans agree that “in trade, if one country makes more money, then another country makes less money”. And while Democrats are more likely to say “if one income group becomes wealthier, this comes at the expense of other groups”, a third of Republicans agree.

Instead of ignoring abortion, the Virginia GOP is trying to contrast itself with Democrats on the issue The strategy might be to motivate the base and get in front of anticipated attacks But obviously comes with risks One of biggest tests in the post-Roe era https://t.co/eaRtZfUQ9T

— Sam Shirazi (@samshirazim) September 22, 2023

NBC News:

New GOP ad campaign for control of Virginia centers on abortion limits

Democrats are campaigning against the GOP's proposed restriction at 15 weeks. Republicans are painting Democrats as the party of "no limits" in an effort to regain ground on abortion.

Republicans have high hopes of flipping Virginia’s state Senate and holding the state House of Delegates in November, which would give them full control of state government under GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin. Youngkin, seeking the governing majority that would allow him to enact parts of his agenda he has struggled to push through a divided legislature, is leading what has become a massive investment in the statehouse races by tapping into a national donor network, attending fundraisers from Nantucket to Dallas.

And abortion has become a flashpoint, with Democrats campaigning on the fact that a GOP majority would threaten Virginia’s status as the last state in the South without significant restrictions on abortion rights.

The Washington Post:

DeSantis is in growing trouble. He’s betting big on Iowa to rescue him.

Abandoned by some donors, bashed by House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and polling behind other Trump alternatives, DeSantis and his allies are increasingly focused on the first GOP caucus state

The pastor said she liked DeSantis. Soon she was recruited.

The Florida governor showed up at the door last month with his family for a home-cooked meal complete with Iowa corn. On Saturday, she drove two hours to see him again, huddling around DeSantis for a prayer at a church event. “I’m not that political of a person,” said the pastor, Joyce Schmidt, 70, laughing a bit at her involvement. “But all of a sudden … ”

The courtship illustrates the organizing underway as DeSantis banks heavily on evangelical Christians, far-flung campaigning and intensive fieldwork to revive the long-shot hopes of his struggling bid to best former president Donald Trump, who holds a widening lead over him in national and early-state polls.

This is part of it for NH. Part of it is what you read from the rank-and-file on Twitter in response to Trump's abortion comments: Trump's justices all voted to end Roe. He succeeded where Reagan and both Bushes failed. He's untouchable with the base on cultural issues today. https://t.co/TWJXpy7SXN

— Sean T at RCP is a free elf (@SeanTrende) September 22, 2023

Norm Ornstein and Donald J Ketti/The New Republic:

GOP Prez Wannabes’ Plans for Government: Dangerous—and Really Dumb

Each wants to shrink government more than the last. And none of them knows a lick about how the federal government actually works.

The congressional extremists may not be in the majority, even if they are driving the House train. But it is in the crowded Republican presidential field where blowing up the government is a common core theme, and there, Vivek Ramaswamy is taking it to another level in his bid to get attention through shocking proposals. None is more shocking than his pledge to slash a million civil servants in his first year as president—and by 75 percent in his first term. He also wants to shutter five federal agencies: the Department of Education, the FBI, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the Food and Nutrition Service, and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms.

she was recommended for indictmenthttps://t.co/3sBRUJsEU3 https://t.co/In1fwcLahe

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) September 22, 2023

Daniel Nichanian/Bolts:

With Impeachment Push, Wisconsin GOP Tests Bounds of Political Power

GOP threats to impeach Justice Janet Protasiewicz blow past the constitutional guardrails over the process, but courts may be reluctant to step in. Democrats have some remaining leverage, though.

Margaret Workman is watching Wisconsin Republicans threaten Justice Janet Protasiewicz with impeachment from several states away. But she can relate to Protasiewicz like very few can.

Workman sat on West Virginia’s supreme court in 2018—one of the three Democratic justices in the court’s majority—when Republican lawmakers decided to impeach that entire court. The GOP had flipped the legislature in 2014 for the first time in decades, and it had seized the governorship in 2017; only the supreme court stood in the way of one-party rule in the state.

“All of a sudden, we had this right-wing legislature wanting to impeach everybody,” she recalls, “and they wanted in my opinion to get rid of us so they could put their own.”

When Workman read this summer that Protasiewicz may be impeached, shortly after her victory flipped Wisconsin’s high court to the left, she was struck by the parallels with what she herself went through. “The Wisconsin situation is a complete power grab to undermine democracy,” she told Bolts. “It shocks me because it even goes further than the one that I experienced.”

She added, “It’s this whole thing that’s scary going on in this country, that if you can’t defeat people’s votes then you do it in some other way.”

Scoop: Joe Biden to join UAW workers in Michigan on Tuesday, in likely one of the most significant pro-union displays ever by a sitting US president amid a contract dispute, sources say https://t.co/tNJCJhnbO9

— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) September 22, 2023

Cliff Schecter on Democratic fighting back:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Republicans are entangled with impeachment

Dan Balz/Washington Post:

Kevin McCarthy turns impeachment into political score-settling

The House speaker directed an impeachment inquiry into President Biden based on “allegations,” making the process a debasement of what was intended to be a constitutional vehicle to remove a president for malfeasance

Now that the inquiry is launched, it could take on a life of its own, in which case it might be difficult to stop before articles of impeachment are introduced. Or the inquiry could run for months without any conclusion, never rising to a formal impeachment proceeding but without anyone calling a halt to it.

McCarthy has claimed the impeachment inquiry is a “natural step” after the work that has been done, but there is nothing natural about this one. It is a political step, one taken under the speaker’s duress. The burden of proof remains with McCarthy and his Republican colleagues.

By letting the child tax credit expire, Congress sent child poverty soaring. What big announcement did Kevin McCarthy make? Not on helping kids, but on impeaching Biden—with no evidence. Biden needs to make McCarthy own DC’s dysfunction My column free link https://t.co/52lprOcvwm

— EJ Dionne (@EJDionne) September 17, 2023

David French/New York Times:

The Most Interesting Element of the Hunter Biden Indictment

And now Hunter Biden, who bought a gun as a nonviolent, unlawful drug user, is charged under the same federal statute at issue in each of the cases above. Arguably, Biden’s best defense to that charge is to join a host of other criminal defendants by challenging that count under Bruen’s text-and-history test. He just might win — and if he does, he will contribute to the dismantling of a key element of federal gun regulations.

More traditional/“moderate” Republicans: 1) engaged in egregious gerrymandering, and/or stopped efforts to reform it at the federal level 2) bemoan the state of their extremist party. Guys—1) led to 2)! You created the beast. A true self-own! Get on board & help fix it!

— David Pepper (@DavidPepper) September 17, 2023

Martin Pengelly/The Guardian:

Trump lawyer Jenna Ellis turns on ‘malignant narcissist’ ex-president

Ellis, one of 18 Trump associates charged in Georgia election subversion case, says she ‘simply can’t support him’ again

Deace said: “Before that man [Trump] needs to be president again … [to] escape the quote-unquote, ‘witch-hunts’, that man needs Jesus again because … his ambitions would be fueled by showing some self-awareness. And he won’t do it because he can’t admit, ‘I’m not God.’”

Ellis said Deace had “perfectly articulated exactly how I as a voter feel”. She knew Trump well “as a friend, as a former boss”, she said, adding: “I have great love and respect for him personally.

“But everything that you just said resonates with me as exactly why I simply can’t support him for elected office again. Why I have chosen to distance is because of that, frankly, malignant narcissistic tendency to simply say that he’s never done anything wrong.

“And the total idolatry that I’m seeing from some of the supporters that are unwilling to put the constitution and the country and the conservative principles above their love for a star is really troubling.

“And I think that we do need to, as Americans and as conservatives and particularly as Christians, take this very seriously and understand where are we putting our vote.”

Nancy Mace on ABC insists that there's evidence Biden was bribed -- but notably, she can't seem to cite any! pic.twitter.com/steI1pOWML

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 17, 2023

New York Times:

Top Democrats’ Bullishness on Biden 2024 Collides With Voters’ Worries

Party leaders have rallied behind the president’s re-election bid, but as one top Democratic strategist put it, “The voters don’t want this, and that’s in poll after poll after poll.”

From the highest levels of the party on down, Democratic politicians and party officials have long dismissed the idea that Mr. Biden should have any credible primary challenger. Yet despite their efforts — and the president’s lack of a serious opponent within his party — they have been unable to dispel Democratic concerns about him that center largely on his age and vitality.

The discord between the party’s elite and its voters leaves Democrats confronting a level of disunity over a president running for re-election not seen for decades.

Interviews with more than a dozen strategists, elected officials and voters this past week, conversations with Democrats since Mr. Biden’s campaign began in April, and months of public polling data show that this disconnect has emerged as a defining obstacle for his candidacy, worrying Democrats from liberal enclaves to swing states to the halls of power in Washington.

This is a storyline that has to work it’s way through until they’re bored with this one as well as the others.

Tucker Carlson is now the most watched pundit alive, with hundreds of millions more viewers than anyone else in the world. This is why you see people sharing and criticizing his content so much more now, and why pundits are quitting TV shows en masse to chase his massive success.

— Nicholas Grossman (@NGrossman81) September 17, 2023

It’s sarcasm.

Matthew Continetti/Commentary:

The Left of the Right

The first thing to say about the New Right is that it can get weird. Its ranks are composed almost entirely of men. They inhabit a social-media cocoon where they talk a lot about manhood, and strength, and manliness, and push-ups, and masculinity, and virility, and weight-lifting, and testosterone. “Wrestling should be mandated in middle schools,” write Arthur Milikh and Scott Yenor in the collection Up from Conservatism. “Students could learn to build and shoot guns as part of a normal course of action in schools and learn how to grow crops and prepare them for meals. Every male student could learn to skin an animal and every female to milk a cow.”

The second aspect of the New Right that deserves attention is its flirtation with anti-Semitism and racial bigotry. Earlier this year, one of the contributors to Up from Conservatism, the international-relations scholar Richard Hanania, was revealed to have written hateful Internet posts under a pseudonym. The pro-Trump Breitbart reported that Pedro L. Gonzalez, an associate editor at Chronicles: A Magazine of American Culture who boosts DeSantis on his social-media account, had a history of anti-Semitism. Around the same time, DeSantis fired speechwriter Nate Hochman, a New Right wunderkind who had promoted an online video that incorporated neo-Nazi imagery.

Everyone in the news business should read this. Everyone outside of the news business should demand cable TV networks, newspapers and news outlets abide by it. In short: "With democracy on the ballot, the mainstream press must change its ways."https://t.co/7LDD6gpr1D pic.twitter.com/LXwN90up85

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) September 16, 2023

Washington Post:

Rock Hall of Fame ousts Wenner, who issues apology after inflammatory remarks

Jann Wenner, the co-founder of Rolling Stone magazine who also helped found the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Foundation, has been removed from the hall’s board after an interview in which he made comments that were criticized as disparaging female musicians and artists of color.

“Jann Wenner has been removed from the Board of Directors of the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Foundation,” the hall said in a statement released Saturday, which did not provide further details. The decision was announced a day after Wenner’s comments were published in an interview with the New York Times.

And now for something completely different:

Archeologists unearth 2200-year-old mosaics in an ancient Greek city named Zeugma in Gaziantep Province, Türkiye. Three new mosaics have been discovered, dated 2nd Century BC, but incredibly well-preserved and look as beautiful and stunning as the first day. Zeugma House of… pic.twitter.com/acOPvPzqnf

— Archaeo - Histories (@archeohistories) September 16, 2023

Charles P Pierce/Esquire:

Should 'Meet the Press' Be Having Trump On?

I don't know how you avoid it. Without a decent alternative, this guy may have his party's nomination wrapped up by Easter.

How do you avoid it? Unless one of the dwarf-like contenders suddenly poses a legitimate challenge, this guy may have his party's nomination wrapped up by Easter. His party is as impotent in the face of his challenge to the republic as it ever was. His acolytes are running wild in the House of Representatives and senators like Mitt Romney simply have given up. He's a crook and a liar and more than half a traitor, which means he hasn't changed a bit since the GOP renominated him in 2020. He's also death on a stick for any Republican candidate in any general election, including his own. Can journalism seriously ignore one of the two major party candidates for president?

It's silly to blame Welker and NBC for having him on the air. And it's probably unfair to Welker if she fails to get the former president* to break down and confess as though he were the surprise villain on an old episode of Perry Mason. The only force truly strong enough to bust the whole thing up is the judiciary. That's where the 2024 presidential campaign truly will be waged.

Oy. Trump says the Capitol Police testified against Nancy Pelosi, and then burned all the evidence. Lie upon lie upon lie. Unchallenged by Welker. Every word out of his mouth is a lie, and he talks over any questioner. Just a colossal mistake to showcase this sociopath.

— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) September 17, 2023

Matt Robison and Rex Huppke:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: ‘With democracy on the ballot …’

Margaret Sullivan/The Guardian:

With democracy on the ballot, the mainstream press must change its ways

US news organizations have turned Biden’s age into a scandal and continue to cover Trump as an entertaining side show

  • The evidence-free Biden impeachment efforts in the House of Representatives are presented to news consumers without sufficient context. In the first round of headlines last week, most news outlets simply reported what speaker Kevin McCarthy was doing as if it were completely legitimate – the result of his likely high crimes and misdemeanors. The Washington Post presented it seriously: “Kevin McCarthy directs House committees to open formal Biden impeachment inquiries,” adding in a credulous line: “The inquiry will center on whether President Biden benefited from his son’s business dealings … ” No hint of what is really happening here. In this case, the New York Times was a welcome exception: “McCarthy, Facing an Ouster and a Shutdown, Orders an Impeachment Inquiry.” That’s more like it.

I noted The New York Times’ coverage as well.

This should be seen as a critical, embarrassing, humiliating failure by every political journalist in Washington and New York, except for like six of them who have figured out how to call politics accurately in these times. https://t.co/s1n6Ie3LaV

— Garrett M. Graff (@vermontgmg) September 15, 2023

Meanwhile in Wisconsin, this (on X, formerly known as Twitter, via Threadreader) from the Democratic Party Executive Director Devin Remiker:

GOP Assembly Speaker Robin Vos is pressing forward with nullifying Wisconsin’s Supreme Court election through impeachment. But he’s thrown out a giant red herring—a vote on a make-believe redistricting bill. 🧵 
His goal is that we spend the next two weeks talking about it, instead of his unprecedented, unconscionable, and unconstitutional impeachment threat. We’re not going to do that. It is worth, at best, a Twitter thread and not even by the guy who normally does our threads. 
There are very serious problems with the bill— most importantly that Vos created a process designed to fail and lock in the current gerrymander perpetually instead of outright giving Republicans the power to unilaterally redraw the maps. 
Last night they ensured their process can be obstructed by one party, now and in any future redistricting cycle. How? Through a bunch of amendments hastily circulated for the first time on the floor.

Craig Gilbert/The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel:

Gilbert: Are Wisconsin's election maps 'rigged'? Here are the reasons the answer is yes

The results in these legislative races were already “baked in” by how the districts were drawn.

Based solely on the new redistricting plan, paying zero attention to the actual campaign, I predicted that Republicans would win 63 of 99 Assembly districts, give or take a seat.

They won 64.

Does that sound like a “rigged” system?

That’s the term that was used by the newest state Supreme Court justice, Janet Protasiewicz, in the run-up to her landslide April election victory, which gave liberals a 4-3 majority on the court.  She called the legislative maps “rigged.”

Her comments outraged Republican lawmakers, who recently threatened to impeach her unless she recused herself from the current legal fight over Wisconsin’s gerrymandered districts.

First poll is out on impeachment. Not everyone knows about it yet—but already, “Nearly twice as many oppose impeachment (47%) as support it (24%)” https://t.co/rHLpb6d10V

— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) September 14, 2023

Charlie Sykes/The Bulwark:

Why Wisconsin's GOP Might Blink And why it might not.

This brings us to the even messier story: the GOP’s threat to impeach a newly elected Supreme Court Justice.

Last week, I described the move as “a power play within a putsch inside a political blunder. The collateral damage will be staggering.”

That should be obvious, and Speaker Vos is a smart politician. But it’s not clear that he can resist the temptation to take a dive that will set a dangerous precedent for the independence of the judiciary, destroy his reputation, and set off a chaotic and unpredictable chain reaction that could shift the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.

Indeed, the scheme set off a firestorm, and Democrats quickly announced a $4 million campaign targeting the Republican attack on the court. More national money was on the way, and insiders began talking about the possibility of a $100 million do-over special election.

The flood of money focused GOP minds marvelously.

OK, posting this and then I’m out. To my fellow members of the tribe, have a happy and sweet new year. Jack Smith Requests ‘Narrow’ Gag Order on Trump Forbidding Attacks on Jan. 6 Witnesses - The Messenger https://t.co/4GepZMg0qk

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) September 15, 2023

Lindsay Beyerstein/Editorial Board:

House Republicans poised to launder Russian disinfo again

A skeptic’s guide to “Hunter Biden’s Laptop.”

In a hack and leak, data is stolen and dumped.

A largely genuine trove of stolen data is also the perfect place to hide forged or stolen elements, which enjoy unearned credibility because they’re packaged with real stuff. That’s why the victims of hack and leaks are advised never to confirm the authenticity of anything.

The attackers are counting on the public to draw the erroneous conclusion that, because some things are genuine, the whole package is real, and – most importantly – that it came from where the cover story says it came from, be that an imaginary collective of good-hearted “hacktivists” or a computer repair shop in Delaware. Anywhere but the GRU.  

The GRU is notorious for hacking and leaking.

Considering this has completely dominated conservative media for three years, 1 in 3 Americans is an extremely low number here. Just an extraordinarily small percentage considering the effort. pic.twitter.com/YG6JLluqqA

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) September 15, 2023

Susan B. Glasser/The New Yorker:

The Twilight of Mitch McConnell and the Spectre of 2024

On the dangerous reign of the octogenarians.

I suspect this is not yet the moment for an open effort to bring down McConnell, but the signs are there for a seismic power shift in the making. The possible heirs to his post are known around the Capitol as the three Johns—Senators Barrasso of Wyoming, Cornyn of Texas, and Thune of South Dakota. Like McConnell, all three are considered members of the Senate G.O.P.’s establishment wing. But none has the power, clout, or stature of McConnell, never mind the reputation for Machiavellian maneuvering that he so relished in his prime. And, if there were any doubt about the direction in which the Party’s momentum is trending, Trump’s current stampede toward the 2024 Presidential nomination seems to offer a loud answer. It speaks clearly to the moment that it was President Biden and not ex-President Trump who called McConnell with words of consolation. “He was his old self on the telephone,” Biden said, as he called the Republican whom Democrats have loved to hate in recent years “a friend.” “I’m confident he’s going to be back to his old self.”

Biden, quite simply, needs McConnell right now. At a time when many Republicans are increasingly taking their cues from Trump and questioning U.S. support for Ukraine, Biden is counting on McConnell and his Senate Republicans to push through twenty-four billion dollars in urgently needed additional funds. The fall’s marquee crisis is expected to be a showdown between the Biden Administration and McCarthy’s restive House Republicans, who have threatened to shut down the government when federal funding runs out at the end of September. What happens if McConnell is out of action to help make a deal?

Rep. Mike Simpson has been the most transparent, clear-eyed legislator on McCarthy's predicament. There will be a motion to vacate. It's just a matter of when. And when it comes, the House will undoubtedly table it and move on. pic.twitter.com/VL0H7ynTie

— Josh Huder (@joshHuder) September 15, 2023

From Cliff Schecter:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: ‘Hunter Biden’s Laptop’ and other tales to scare the children with

McKay Coppins/The Atlantic:

WHAT MITT ROMNEY SAW IN THE SENATE

In an exclusive excerpt from my forthcoming biography of the senator, Romney: A Reckoning, he reveals what drove him to retire.

It begins with a text message from Angus King, the junior senator from Maine: “Could you give me a call when you get a chance? Important.”

Romney calls, and King informs him of a conversation he’s just had with a high-ranking Pentagon official. Law enforcement has been tracking online chatter among right-wing extremists who appear to be planning something bad on the day of Donald Trump’s upcoming rally in Washington, D.C. The president has been telling them the election was stolen; now they’re coming to steal it back. There’s talk of gun smuggling, of bombs and arson, of targeting the traitors in Congress who are responsible for this travesty. Romney’s name has been popping up in some frightening corners of the internet, which is why King needed to talk to him. He isn’t sure Romney will be safe.

This excerpt and the bit that follows has been all over Washington. While much of it is known, Mitt told Mitch McConnell what King told Romney. And if Senators knew, what did the FBI and security forces know?

Whatever the answers, it’s a stark reminder of why Donald Trump was impeached a second time.

Charlie Sykes/The Bulwark:

Mitt Romney and the Verdict of History

Thoughts about Death and History and Fragility and Violence.

Mitt Romney will leave the Senate the same way he came in. One of the vanishingly rare statesmen left in politics, Romney tried to be the conscience of the party he once led. That made him a very lonely man.

As he told the Wapo’s Dan Balz yesterday: “It’s pretty clear that the party is inclined to a populist demagogue message.”

Now comes the verdict of history.

Abbe Lowell refrain: "What changed [between Hunter Biden plea deal and charges brought today]? Not the facts, not the law; just the politics." Don't see what the fair rebuttal to this point is.

— Harry Litman (@harrylitman) September 14, 2023

Punchbowl News:

Yet in reality, McCarthy’s decision to pivot even harder to the right this week, acquiescing to demands that he open an impeachment inquiry, will have far-reaching implications for the House. It could undo months of effort the two men [Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries] have put into building a more congenial dynamic than the frosty relationship McCarthy had with former Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Pelosi was notoriously frigid toward McCarthy, even calling him “a moron” on camera last year. This bothered McCarthy so much that he sat down with Jeffries before the new Congress to set a new tone. No public name calling, they said. Both vowed to treat each other respectfully, even when they disagree, according to multiple sources familiar with the meeting.

So far, they’ve stuck to that handshake deal. The two leaders have even worked closely together on some joint initiatives, including standing up the China select committee and pulling together a bipartisan artificial intelligence briefing. Jeffries’ allies see McCarthy as a speaker who would theoretically like to work with Democrats, but has no political space to do so.

Yet that bonhomie is in jeopardy as McCarthy continues to bend to his right flank.

Politico:

Kevin McCarthy's profanity-laced tirade overshadowed the special GOP impeachment briefing.

“If you think you scare me because you want to file a motion to vacate, move the f—ing motion,” the speaker said at the top of the meeting.

It's a sign of the broader frustration building among the majority of House Republicans, many of whom were receptive to McCarthy's blow up. Some have advocated for increased pressure on conservative members, who have shrugged at the idea of a shutdown and continued pushing spending priorities that would be rejected by the Democratic Senate and White House.

And McCarthy is dialing up the pressure, telling his members during the closed-door meeting that once they return to Washington next week they won’t leave until they’ve funded the government.

“We’re going to come back in next week and we’re not going to leave until we get the job done,” he told reporters after the meeting.

And who believes McCarthy will stand up to pressure from his right flank?

Cliff Schecter on Tim Scott:

“Hopefulness…is adversarial. It is the warrior emotion that can lay waste to cynicism.” Nick Cave

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) June 27, 2022

Dan Pfeiffer/”The Message Box” on Substack:

Impeachment Scam: What You Need to Know

The GOP is hoping to use impeachment and a broken info environment to damage Biden

This week, the Republicans in the House made the unprecedented and constitutionally dubious decision to launch an impeachment inquiry into President Biden without a single shred of evidence. While the politics of impeachment are likely to blow up in the Republicans’ faces, this unpredictable situation is not without pitfalls for Biden and the Democrats. One of those pitfalls involves the horse-race obsessed political media and dystopic information environment flooded with disinformation and clickbait. The White House is so concerned about how news of the impeachment inquiry will reach the public that on Tuesday they sent a letter to news organizations urging them to not to treat this inquiry as normal. As Ian Sams, Special Assistant the Spokesman for the White House Counsel’s Office wrote:

Reporting that solely focuses on process rather than substance is woefully inadequate when it comes to something as historically grave as impeachment.

It’s time for the media to ramp up its scrutiny of House Republicans for opening an impeachment inquiry based on lies. When even House Republican members are admitting that there is simply no evidence that Joe Biden did anything wrong, much less impeachable, that should set off alarm bells for news organizations.

The White House’s concerns are warranted. Less than 24 hours after McCarthy’s announcement, social media is being flooded with enough disinformation and overly credulous reporting to make people who haven’t been following the story think that Biden is somehow guilty of something. I wanted to provide some information and context to help Message Box readers understand this madness and talk to your friends and family who may encounter the bad info floating out there.

Hot take: Meadows don’t want the motions panel (that’s very unfavorable to him) preemptively steering the discourse and wants to avoid too much discussion about whether former officers are covered by the removal statute. So, this morning’s order is a gift that he wants to use. https://t.co/zR7aK0QbBQ

— Anthony Michael Kreis (@AnthonyMKreis) September 14, 2023

Mark Meadows had two items in federal court pending in the GA case. One was to stay a result that hadn’t happened (as seen here, withdrawn). That would have failed, since GA law allows a trial but would have withheld a verdict pending appeal.

The other item is an appeal to remove his case to federal jurisdiction, already denied by Steve Jones and now on expedited appeal to the 11th Circuit. Meadows’s initial brief for the appeal is due Monday. and the state of GA response a week later.

Emily Bazelon/New York Times:

The Surprising Places Where Abortion Rights Are on the Ballot, and Winning

But something else also happened. In his majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, Justice Samuel Alito invited Americans to decide directly how much abortion access to allow. “In some states, voters may believe that the abortion right should be even more extensive,” Alito wrote. “Voters in other states may wish to impose tight restrictions.” Unexpectedly, in red and purple states that have put the question directly to the public — asking people to reject or support abortion rights in a ballot measure — they have voted against new restrictions or in favor of more access every time.

BREAKING: Planned Parenthood will resume their Wisconsin services next week now that a Dane Co judge said the 1849 law widely interpreted as a near-complete abortion ban doesn't apply to abortions at all

— Alexander Shur (@AlexanderShur) September 14, 2023

Greg Sargent/Washington Post:

How the ‘MAGA doom loop’ is already threatening Trump’s 2024 chances

The pattern is becoming clear: Even as voters are mobilizing to protect democracy at the ballot box, Republicans are redoubling their commitment to the former president’s anti-majoritarian mode of politics. And this, in turn, is motivating voters even more.

Call it the “MAGA doom loop.” It’s playing out in state after state.

GOP attacks on democracy—such as, say, threatening to overturn an election through an unconstitutional impeachment—aren’t just wrong. They’re also a huge political problem for a GOP that has to win states like Wisconsin in 2024. https://t.co/9PsljbWvoe

— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) September 14, 2023

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Weaponization of government isn’t a committee, it’s a GOP strategy

Michael Cohen/”Truth and Consequences” on Substack:

Those Old Impeachment Blues

Republicans are opening an impeachment inquiry against President Biden even though they have no evidence he has done anything wrong.

Think about all the allegations of abuse of power, obstruction, and corruption against Donald Trump that Republicans consistently swept under the rug and refused to investigate. Think about the excuses that GOP leaders constantly made for Trump’s behavior — from his pressuring Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden and his ostentatious violations of the Emoluments clause to his efforts to obstruct the Mueller investigation and, of course, trying to overturn the 2020 election. House GOP members waved every Trump scandal away. Now, without a shred of evidence, they are opening an impeachment inquiry into Biden.

Politico:

How Donald Trump’s DOJ gave Biden a major assist in the coming impeachment probe

The department’s 2020 opinion around Trump’s impeachment trial could place some serious constraints on House Republicans now.

Joe Biden has a literal Trump card to play against the House’s new impeachment inquiry.

In January 2020, the Donald Trump-led Justice Department formally declared that impeachment inquiries by the House are invalid unless the chamber takes formal votes to authorize them.

That opinion — issued by the Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel — came in response to then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s decision to launch an impeachment inquiry into Trump without initially holding a vote for it. Not only is it still on the books, it is binding on the current administration as it responds to Tuesday’s announcement by Speaker Kevin McCarthy to authorize an impeachment inquiry into Biden, again without a vote.

The pressure is working. Ratchet it up.

— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) September 12, 2023

Because of the public pressure, the Wisconsin Speaker Robin Vos is scrambling for a way to retin power without impeaching the newest WISC judge, Janet Protasiewicz. But this proposal is just as crooked as the current gerrymandering.

Vos's proposal is a system where staff draws maps, but then if the legislature—meaning Vos, as Speaker—rejects them, he can change them however he wants. Nope.https://t.co/ZF1BzQs5pX https://t.co/qbZLkKHFDp pic.twitter.com/KKeikxoh1s

— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) September 12, 2023

Noah Berlatsky/”Public Notice” on Substack:

The GOP's impeachment push is an attack on democracy

It's about minimizing Trump's misconduct and degrading an important check on the presidency.

Republicans are absolutely impeachment crazy these days. During the August recess, GOP congressmen and senators regularly went on Fox and talked about impeaching a range of Biden administration officials, including Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, Attorney General Merrick Garland, Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, and FBI Director Christopher Wray. They’ve been trying to figure out some reason to impeach President Biden basically since there has been a President Biden — and for that matter before he even took office.

Sen. Joni Ernst claimed in February 2020, before Biden had even won the Democratic nomination, that Republicans would immediately impeach him if he became president. She said the pretext should be the (evidence-less, repeatedly debunked) conspiracy theories about his role in his son Hunter’s business dealings in Ukraine.

New substack focuses on recent @CBSNewsPoll & youth crosstabs. Excellent approval ratings for @VP among youth: 55%: 18-29 45%: 30-44 35%: 45-64 33%: 65+ Also, 55% believe Harris serving “as first woman & person of color” VP is a “good thing." More-> https://t.co/tWczRwtqBy

— John Della Volpe (@dellavolpe) September 12, 2023

John Della Volpe/Substack:

The resilient spirit of young America

Analysis of the latest CBS News Poll on the future, Kamala Harris, and the U.S. relationship with Ukraine

The Bottom Line

Even though Gen Z and young millennials have confronted an array of challenges early in their lives, they stand resilient. They’re deeply connected to their country, radiating hope and optimism while offering a unique lens on the world’s events and its leaders.

For those of us in roles of mentorship—whether as parents, coaches, teachers, or leaders—it’s crucial that we not only nurture their optimism but also draw inspiration from their unwavering spirit and vigor.

After all, it’s the least—and perhaps the best—thing we can do.

Wall Street Journal:

Voters Feel Better About the Economy, but Few Credit Biden, Polls Find

Most Americans disapprove of president’s economic policy, posing a challenge to his re-election

Two-thirds of voters who usually side with Democrats say the economy is in excellent or good condition, up 9 percentage points from December, the latest Journal poll found. Among independents, the share who view the economy favorably also rose 9 points to 36%. Eight percent of Republicans say the same, unchanged from December.

At the same time, roughly three in five voters polled by the Journal disapprove of Biden’s handling of the economy, and 63% of voters don’t like how the president has handled inflation.

Donella Cooper, 49 years old, an independent voter who lives in Lincoln, Neb., and works in IT, said she has seen slight improvements in the economy, but she doesn’t think it is because of Biden, whom she supported in 2020. She is undecided on whether she will back Biden again and wants to see him do more to help the economy before making the decision.

A central reason I'm bullish on Biden/Dems: "An analysis from FiveThirtyEight found that in 38 special elections held so far this year, Democrats have outperformed the partisan lean .....of the areas where the races were held by an average of 10%" https://t.co/CrkM88zl0t

— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) September 10, 2023

Michael Warren/The Dispatch:

Polling on Trump’s Cases Shows Two Different Universes

Republicans are rallying around their guy, but the general electorate thinks the indictments are legit.

Why have the other Republican candidates for president—seemingly falling further and further out of the race with each passing week—proven neither willing nor able to go after the former president for his multiple indictments? The assumption, based on both regular conversations with officials from those campaigns and from observing the obvious, is that Republican primary voters not only don’t care about Trump’s legal woes—they think he’s being unfairly targeted.

The recent Wall Street Journal poll put some more meat on those bones, finding the charges aren’t giving GOP voters any second thoughts. But the survey also spells out how these indictments could cause Trump serious trouble in a general election, because the majority of registered voters think the cases have merit—at least at this point...

In other words, Republican primary voters are well aware of the legal drama unfolding—and they’re largely on Trump’s side.

The breakdown for registered voters overall, however, tells a much different story. Among that group, fewer than 40 percent believe the various cases are meritless, and solid majorities think they’re legitimate, including some who think they are politically motivated: 56 percent in both the New York and Florida cases, and 55 percent in both the D.C. and Georgia cases.

(Side note: Polling of “registered voters” tends to reflect a more Democratic sample than we see in election turnout, but for the moment, it’s a good substitute for a general electorate. And the Journal poll appears to have a registered voter sample that’s almost evenly divided among Republicans/lean Republicans and Democrats/lean Democrats.)

To recap: McCarthy caved to the extreme MAGA far right, flip flopped on his word from 11 days ago, disregarded the voices of a growing # of R's who said they'd vote no, jeopardizing his House majority in the process, all to keep the gavel. And it didn't work. https://t.co/cHAycFNlw0

— Kate Berner (@KateBerner) September 12, 2023

Gabe Rosenberg/Vanity Fair:

Ron DeSantis’s 2024 Team Is Coming Apart at the Seams

The blame game has begun—privately, at least—between the campaign and its super PAC over who’s at fault for the Florida governor’s stumbles. “Ron is telling everyone that the biggest mistake he ever made was hiring Jeff Roe,” says one source.

When Jeff Roe signed on as an adviser to the main pro–Ron DeSantis super PAC in March, it appeared that the Florida governor, fresh off a 19-point reelection victory, was the future of the Republican Party. Roe was the hottest operative in GOP politics, having steered Glenn Youngkin to an upset victory in Virginia’s 2021 gubernatorial election, and his decision to join the Never Back Down PAC was validation that DeSantis had the best chance to wrest the party’s 2024 nomination from Donald Trump. But six months later, DeSantis’s national poll numbers are down about 50%, and his struggling presidential bid is being buffeted by layoffs, infighting, and embarrassing leaks.

According to sources, Roe and the DeSantis campaign are blaming each other for DeSantis’s faltering candidacy. In June, I reported that Roe had complained to people about how the campaign wasn’t getting more press coverage. “Trump defined the election conversation while DeSantis focused on policy,” a GOP operative said, explaining how DeSantis followed an outdated campaign playbook instead of giving GOP voters red meat. Sources say Roe was frustrated that DeSantis waited until early August to replace campaign manager Generra Peck. Peck is a talented operative who gained DeSantis and his wife Casey DeSantis’s support for having overseen the governor’s decisive 2022 reelection campaign. But she had never worked at the presidential level, and a source says Roe blamed her for overspending too early in the race. Peck declined to comment.

Audrey Fahlberg/The Dispatch:

Will Voters Buy What Vivek Ramaswamy Is Selling?

A day in New Hampshire with the entrepreneur-turned-presidential-candidate reveals Republican voters’ questions about his authenticity.

A charitable interpretation of Ramaswamy’s apparent about-faces is that he entertains so many voter questions at campaign events that he genuinely forgets where he’s previously come down on a handful of key issues. The more negative interpretation—the one championed by his political adversaries—is that Ramaswamy is so new to politics that his beliefs aren’t grounded in any coherent political philosophy, and he just spits out whatever phrases or stances he thinks the audience he’s speaking to might find compelling. As he admitted to Hewitt during the conversation about foreign policy, “I didn’t know much of this six months ago.”

NEWS: A new court filing from one of the 16 false electors in Michigan says the group "acted at the direction of" then-President Donald Trump. https://t.co/EIogzWN2V3

— Craig Mauger (@CraigDMauger) September 12, 2023

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: The politics of 2024 as seen from 2023.

Christian Vanderbrouk/The Bulwark:

They Did This to Themselves

By supporting the Liz Cheney purge and downplaying January 6th, Ron DeSantis and his conservative supporters dug their own hole.

We can stipulate that the team behind Ron DeSantis has done their candidate no favors. But reserve the lion’s share of blame for the conservative movement as a whole, which acceded to the purge of anti-Trump leaders like Liz Cheney and stifled criticism of the January 6th riot.

There have been 23 special elections for State Legislature this year Dems have overperformed Biden's vote share by an average of 8%— literally unprecedented for a party in the White House I have not read a single article in the mainstream media about this pic.twitter.com/cM46CPrfTD

— Brent Peabody 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@brent_peabody) September 9, 2023

Understand that very conservative voters still (and will) turn out. it’s just that the rest of the country hates what Republicans are selling.

Dan Balz/Washington Post:

What divides political parties? More than ever, it’s race and ethnicity.

A new report examines political polarization. While acknowledging that anti-democratic impulses among Republicans are most worrisome, it suggests that both parties bear some responsibility for stoking division.

“Religion, economic concerns, and factors like education, age, and gender also divide us politically, but the reality is that as America becomes more diverse, it is also becoming more racially divided in the electoral arena,” Zoltan Hajnal of the University of California at San Diego writes in one chapter in the report.

Lilliana Mason of Johns Hopkins University writes in another chapter of the report, “The process of social sorting allowed the Republican Party to represent the interests of ‘traditional’ white, Christian America while the Democratic Party was increasingly representing those who were still struggling to overturn centuries of social inequality. This type of divide is not easily corrected — Democrats and Republicans have opposing visions of who should hold power in American society and how much progress has already been made.”

It’s both sides’ fault because one party is racist and Christian nationalist, and the other party isn’t. Therefore, they don’t agree.

And that right there is why doing the right thing doesn’t automatically win.  See Liz Cheney. And what that means is you need to play politics. From that, it follows that “your side” is going to choose to do things you don’t like while the other side does things you abhor, and/but you’ll still vote for them.

Further, it means campaigns matter, and Biden’s hasn’t started yet while Trump/Fox has never stopped. That’s one of the main reasons to ignore polling right now.

Jennifer Rubin/Washington Post:

I don’t write about polls. You shouldn’t bother with them, either.

You might have noticed that I studiously have avoided dissecting the avalanche of 2024 polls. I don’t plan on deviating from this approach — at least not until mid-2024. And you should consider ignoring the nonstop flood of polling and the rickety analysis dependent on it. Here are five reasons we should all go on a poll-free political diet for at least six months:

...

Second, voters tell us utterly contradictory things. Around 60 percent tell pollsters that four-time-indicted former president Donald Trump should drop out. But then nearly half say they’ll vote for him. Which is it? There is a hefty amount of research that what voters say they want doesn’t align with how they vote. Whether it is gas prices or the war in Ukraine or the candidates themselves, respondents often give contradictory answers, suggesting they either don’t understand the question, don’t really know what they think or respond based on tribal loyalty.

Lead buried in this WSJ story: 71% of suburban women oppose Supreme Court's Dobbs decision to overturn Roe v. Wade https://t.co/3VvytCxJCw

— David Frum (@davidfrum) September 8, 2023

Donald Ayer/The Atlantic:

Ignore Jack Smith’s Critics

The prosecutions of Donald Trump are something to celebrate, not lament.

Several distinguished individuals have recently expressed grave reservations about the prosecutions of former President Donald Trump. Notably, they appear to have no dispute about the seriousness of his wrongdoing. Rather, their main concern is that “terrible consequences” may result, because the prosecutions “may come to be seen as political trials … and play directly into the hands of Trump and his allies.” Although many Trump supporters will view the situation in just this way, any suggestion that prosecution is therefore unwise misconceives what is at stake here and, sadly, is evidence of America’s diminished national spirit.

Donald Ayer served as United States attorney and principal deputy solicitor general in the Reagan administration and as deputy attorney general under George H. W. Bush.

Jacqueline Alemany/Washington Post:

As GOP investigates prosecutors, experts worry about judicial independence

Investigate the investigator.

That has been the operating thesis of the GOP’s playbook to counter the myriad criminal investigations into Donald Trump, the de facto leader of the Republican Party. Interrogating investigators’ methods and scruples is a strategy that has been utilized by both parties during tumultuous moments, and is a well-worn tool for lawmakers seeking to appease constituents hungry for the appearance of oversight on polarizing issues.

The strategy has been effective in shaping public opinion of the investigations after years of sustained broadsides against the judicial system by Trump and his top allies. Washington Post-FiveThirtyEight-Ipsos poll last month showed 75 percent of potential Republican primary voters said charges against the former president across various investigations were politically motivated.

On our @cygnal tracking polling of LVs we have Biden +3 but one thing is to look at where we think turnout will eventually be, not the topline. Among perfect voters: Biden 50-44 (+6%) Among presidential year voters: Trump 44-43 (+1%) Among occasional voters: Trump 42-35 (+7%)

— Noah Wyhof-Rudnick (@rudnicknoah) September 7, 2023

The presidential year voters are who campaigns aim at. The occasional voters are in some ways the most interesting, but sometimes they stay at the West Virginia diner and don’t vote at all. That’s where digital campaigns come in (they’re cheaper). But if you want to make a real difference you do this:

NBC News:

Democrats launching $20 million voter registration drive amid race for House control

The $20 million voter registration effort comes as Democrats look to retake control of the House in 2024.

A non-profit aligned with House Democrats is kicking off a $20 million voter registration drive focusing on key regions and voters in the battle for the House majority next year.

House Majority Forward announced the $20 million investment, which it called it's "initial" commitment, Tuesday. It'll target young, Black, Latino, Asian American and Pacific Islander and Native American voters, and will take place in areas home to key House districts including:

  • Alaska
  • The Des Moines, Iowa area
  • New York's Hudson Valley, Long Island, Southern Tier and Syracuse metro area
  • Northern Virginia
  • Various regions in Michigan
  • Pennsylvania's Lehigh Valley and the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre area
  • Various parts of Michigan including Flint, the middle of the state, the Lansing area and part of the Detroit metro area

Bill Scher/Washington Monthly:

Ageist Attacks Aren’t New in Presidential Campaigns, And They Haven’t Worked

Republicans are gleeful, and Democrats are worried about Biden’s age. But such attacks on White House contenders go back to antebellum days and rarely draw blood.
  • He is “both physically and intellectually incompetent to perform the many, varied, arduous, and important duties which must devolve upon every President of the United States.”  

No, that’s not a Republican politician attacking Joe Biden. That’s an attack by a Democratic politician on William Henry Harrison, the 1840 Whig Party nominee.

Harrison was, at the time, the oldest presidential candidate ever. According to historian Ronald G. Shafer in his book, The Carnival Campaign, Democrats embarked on a “whispering campaign hinting that the old general, at age sixty-seven, was in such poor health that he might not survive the campaign.” (He would die days after his inauguration, but most likely from contaminated water, not old age.)

Democratic newspapers dubbed him “Old Granny Harrison.” One polemicist for a Baltimore rag sought to deride the former Territory of Indiana Governor and Ohio Senator as an aging drunk but famously missed the target: “Give him a barrel of hard cider and settle a pension of two thousand a year on him and, my word for it, he will sit the remainder of his days in a log cabin by the side of a ‘sea coal’ fire and study moral philosophy.” The Whigs turned “Log Cabin and Hard Cider” into a popular campaign slogan, painting Harrison as an authentic everyman.  

Republicans aren’t so gleeful after Mitch McConnell’s health issues and Donald Trump’s hamburder lifestyle.

Adam Bass/Ordinary Times:

Let Joe Biden Be Joe Biden: Voter Reactions To President Biden’s Events

However, something changes when you put Biden in front of a campaign crowd and give him a portable microphone.

The octogenarian President moves to make wisecracks, becomes louder and prouder of his accomplishments, jabs at former president Donald Trump, and even jokes about his most vulnerable attribute.

When I watched Biden make a Labor Day stop in Philadelphia, PA, I was taken aback by his mannerisms and almost felt like I was watching a 2012 stump speech.

And I was not the only one who noticed this either.

I showed the video of Biden at the event to several of my colleagues and my peers around 25 years of age — many of them worried about his age and mental acuity.

Many seemed impressed with his cadence and energy at the Labor Day event.

“It reminds me of when he was Vice President,” one said on the condition of anonymity. “I want to see more of this Biden.”

To see if this was consistent, I conducted a focus group.

A new liberal tilt to the Wisconsin Supreme Court is driving Republican fears of losing their large legislative majorities, which were built under some of the most gerrymandered political maps in the country. https://t.co/HSvCPFcKSq

— The Associated Press (@AP) September 10, 2023

Dan Kaufman/New Yorker:

The Wisconsin G.O.P.’s Looming Judicial Attack

A state Supreme Court justice—recently elected in a landslide—may be impeached before she ever hears a case.

Republicans in the Assembly, who have sixty-four of the chamber’s ninety-nine seats, need only a simple majority to impeach Protasiewicz. A trial would then be held in the Senate, which requires a vote with a two-thirds majority—the exact proportion currently held by Republicans—to convict. If Protasiewicz is impeached, she would be barred from performing her duties while awaiting the trial. Some political observers have suggested that the Senate may delay holding one, which would leave Protasiewicz powerless and the court ideologically deadlocked. Others have suggested that Republicans may try to convict her by December 1st; Wisconsin’s Democratic governor, Tony Evers, could appoint a replacement—who would serve only until the next judicial election, which is in April, on the same date as the state’s Republican Presidential primary. (If Protasiewicz is convicted after December 1st, a replacement would serve until 2031.)

Robert Yablon, a professor of law at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, who has examined judicial impeachments across the country, has found no record of any judge in American history being impeached for failing to recuse herself owing to campaign activities, including statements made on the trail. He noted a 2002 U.S. Supreme Court case, whose majority opinion was written by Antonin Scalia, that gives wide latitude to judicial candidates to speak on political issues. Nor has Yablon found a judge who has been removed before hearing a single case. “This is a very vivid illustration of the kind of minoritarian rule that a gerrymander can get you,” he said.

If you’re worried about Biden’s age, read this thread. In short, the president is not a normal person. There are thousands of people behind him doing the work of government. Please read this. https://t.co/cSOMJKuT0J

— The Editorial Board (@johnastoehr) September 10, 2023

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: The planned destruction of democracy in Wisconsin

Ian Millhiser/Vox:

The Republican Party’s plan to rule the state of Wisconsin forever, explained

Wisconsin’s legislature is gerrymandered to ensure that Democrats will never win it. Republicans have a plan to keep it that way.

A quirk in the state constitution, however, may allow Wisconsin’s gerrymandered legislature to strip Protasiewicz of her ability to decide cases, and to do so indefinitely. That would leave the state supreme court evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans, and thus unable (or, at least, unwilling) to strike down the state’s gerrymander.

According to the New York Times, “Republicans in Wisconsin are coalescing around the prospect of impeaching” Protasiewicz. If the state assembly moved forward with impeachment, and then the gerrymandered state Senate convicted her, that wouldn’t actually be that big of a deal. Democratic Gov. Tony Evers could immediately appoint a replacement justice, who would then provide the fourth vote to strike down the gerrymandered maps.

But the state constitution also provides that “no judicial officer shall exercise [her] office, after [s]he shall have been impeached, until [her] acquittal.” So the state assembly could conceivably impeach Protasiewicz, and then the state senate could delay her trial forever — effectively creating a vacancy on the court that could last for a very long time.

Michelle Goldberg/The New York Times:

Wisconsin Republicans Try to Subvert Democracy, Again

Janet Protasiewicz, the left-leaning candidate in the nonpartisan contest, was careful not to declare how she would rule in specific cases, but she said that she was personally pro-choice and that she wanted to take a fresh look at the state’s “rigged” electoral maps. She won by 11 points, about as near to a landslide as anyone in closely divided Wisconsin is likely to get. The voters’ message couldn’t have been clearer.

But Wisconsin Republicans may have one move left to thwart their inconvenient citizenry. It looks increasingly likely that they could use their nearly impregnable majority to impeach Protasiewicz before she’s heard a single case. “Anyone who cares about democracy should consider this threat to be deadly serious,” said Ben Wikler, the chair of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin. The only way to head off this autocratic power play, he said, “is if there’s a massive uproar that drowns out the voices of election overturners and Constitution shredders.”

Charlie Sykes/The Bulwark:

Justice Scalia Would Like a Word

The conservative flip-flop on judicial speech

Meanwhile, in Wisconsin…

Before they pull the trigger, however, Wisconsin’s Republicans might want to brush up on their Scalia. The late conservative judicial icon had some thoughts on the question of whether judicial candidates should be able to talk about political issues.

In the 2002 case, Republican Party of Minnesota v. White, Scalia wrote the majority opinion in which the Supreme Court ruled that the First Amendment does not permit the government to prevent judicial candidates from stating their opinions on disputed political or legal issues.

Scalia was joined by the court’s other conservative members — including Clarence Thomas. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and three other liberal justices dissented.

now ask him about Wisconsin cc @benwikler https://t.co/Ir4j4HfRkc

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) September 8, 2023

POLITICO:

The GOP Is Losing the Doctor Vote in Pennsylvania. Will the Party Flatline in 2024?

A political realignment around health care is reshaping state politics.

From the beginning, Derry Township was a GOP stronghold (founder Milton Hershey was a staunch Republican), home to descendants of the chocolate factory’s Italian immigrant laborers and Pennsylvania Dutch farmers who settled in the rural, blue-collar and conservative hamlet. It was a “one-party town,” said lifelong resident and local historian Lou Paioletti, a Democrat and Derry Township’s elected tax collector. “Way back in the early days, there was an unwritten expectation that the chocolate company workers be registered Republican.” This GOP mood prevailed through the turn of this century. Republican presidential candidates, including Donald Trump in 2016, regularly won the township — the beneficiary of a massive Republican voter registration advantage.

By the early 2010s, though, the med center was making Derry Township suburban and transient — and more Democratic. After the 2012 election, The Sun, the Hershey area weekly newspaper, reported local Republicans’ “disappointment” with voter returns that was “bound to set off a round of soul searching — and bloodletting.” During Trump’s presidency, Democratic voter registration dramatically increased; in 2020, Joe Biden prevailed here.

NBC News:

Republicans are trying to find a new term for ‘pro-life’ to stave off more electoral losses

Sen. Todd Young, R-Ind., summarized the closed-door meeting on Capitol Hill as being focused on “pro-baby policies.”

At a closed-door meeting of Senate Republicans this week, the head of a super PAC closely aligned with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., presented poll results that suggested voters are reacting differently to commonly used terms like “pro-life” and “pro-choice” in the wake of last year’s Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade, said several senators who were in the room.

The polling, which NBC News has not independently reviewed, was made available to senators Wednesday by former McConnell aide Steven Law and showed that “pro-life” no longer resonated with voters.

“What intrigued me the most about the results was that ‘pro-choice’ and ‘pro-life’ means something different now, that people see being pro-life as being against all abortions ... at all levels,” Sen. Kevin Cramer, R-N.D., said in an interview Thursday.

We know them for who they are.

I'm from Baltimore, where some dude wrote a poem on a warship and now all the rest of you mooks have to sing a couple verses of it before you can do much as play a fucking baseball game. https://t.co/FWRskG43yf

— David Simon (@AoDespair) September 8, 2023

Noah Smith/”Noahpinion” on Substack:

The danger of another American civil war is low

Re-upping some arguments I've made before.

Six or seven years ago, during the early days of the Trump administration, this rhetoric would have seemed all too realistic. I could clearly see how the U.S. might fall into a civil war similar to the one that laid waste to Spain in the 1930s — a contested election leading to a split within the military that eventually spirals into an all-out contest for control of the country.

In 2023, though, I’m not so worried. The 2020 election came and went, and sure enough, it was contested, even with a tiny little bit of violence. But there were no signs of a split within the U.S. Armed Forces. There’s little reason to expect that any 2024 replay would turn out differently.

And if the U.S. Military doesn’t split and fight itself, the prospects for civil war are low. With liberal cities and conservative exurbs, and each type of place heavily dependent on the other, the country just isn’t set up for a “national divorce” like the one we had in 1860.

Igor Bobic/HuffPost:

'A Big Circle Jerk': John Fetterman Dares Republicans To Impeach Joe Biden

“Go ahead. Do it, I dare you,” said the Democratic senator. "It's a loser."

Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) had some blunt words for Republicans who are pushing to impeach President Joe Biden: It’ll bite you in next year’s elections.

“Go ahead. Do it, I dare you,” Fetterman said during an interview with a handful of reporters in his Capitol Hill office on Wednesday. “If you can find the votes, go ahead, because you’re going to lose. It’s a loser.”

“It would just be like a big circle jerk on the fringe right,” the senator added. “Sometimes you just gotta call their bullshit. If they’re going to threaten, then let’s see it.”

Lindsey Graham, David Perdue, Kelly Loeffler aka member of the GOP Senate https://t.co/paVXxITZ6n

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) September 8, 2023

from Matt Robison and Cliff Schecter:

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: It’s not Joe Biden’s age. It’s the age we live in

Ryan Burge/Graphs About Religion:

How Do Religious Groups View Joe Biden Right Now?

And, does this tell us anything about his chances in 2024?

Biden did well in these [2020 primary] polls. Which makes sense because he did manage to win the nomination. In fact, he won a majority of the votes in most religious groups. That includes basically all Christians. Fifty-seven percent of white Catholics backed him in the primary and he got the same share of the Jewish vote.

There are some groups where he struggled a bit, though. That’s the most glaring when looking at the nones. He only got 42% of the ballots cast by nothing in particulars. He did even worse among agnostics (32%) and atheists (30%). In fact, there were only two instances where Biden wasn’t the plurality vote choice.

Thirty-eight percent of atheists were Sanders's voters. It was thirty-five percent of agnostics. Biden’s real weakness in the 2020 primary was secular folks. In the data about thirteen percent of all Democratic primary voters in 2020 were in the atheist or agnostic category.

Recall earlier that agnostics and atheists believed Sanders to be very liberal. This is clearly a case of “Sanders is really liberal and that’s why we are voting for him.” Not a situation where it’s, “Sanders is very liberal and that’s too liberal for me.”

Benjy Sarlin/Semafor:

You need to calm down, Democratic pollsters argue

But there are reasons campaign professionals tend to wave off early surveys, which have notoriously overstated threats to incumbents. Here’s why pollsters and strategists we spoke to say they’re not panicking yet.

There is no campaign. Every time you see a poll showing Biden’s approval in the 30s, mentally add an asterisk that says “before Democrats spend $1 billion.”

This isn’t so much about a prohibitive spending advantage (Republicans will have money too), but about what that money goes towards. In this case, it’s a message that so far has worked for Democrats in real-life conditions.

In the midterms, postmortems found that Democrats performed poorly in noncompetitive contests, but they won big in highly contested, swing state races where they could devote millions to ads on issues like abortion, drug prices, and entitlements while painting their opponents as “MAGA extremists.” The same formula has held up well in off-year elections since then, including a blowout judicial race in Wisconsin centered on abortion rights and gerrymandering.

The thing about Biden is that —for better/worse — he’s a singular figure BECAUSE of his age. He’s the only Dem with a brand that includes both Obama era and Clinton/Reagan era moderates. There’s an argument he’s the only one who would have won in 20. No one else w/ that profile.

— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) September 6, 2023

Jill Lawrence/The Bulwark:

Joe Biden’s Problem Isn’t His Age, It’s Our Age

Trump’s cruelty theater is distorting politics and people’s views of the president.

As usual, Donald Trump is at the root of the mess. From the minute he entered the 2016 presidential race on a golden escalator in a building blaring his name, U.S. politics has been a twisted reality show that elevates outrage, insults, and cruelty in a spirit of sadistic fun. That’s entertainment, at least for Trump’s many millions of devoted fans.

Theatrics are not unheard of in the political arena, yet scenes from the relatively recent past seem so innocent now. 

Haley zigged when everybody else zagged and benefited from being different. There's probably not a plurality audience for her general election pitch, but it's at least interesting, and sends pundit/donor hearts aflutter. Vivek stood out on stage, but was high-stepping on DJT turf

— Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan) September 7, 2023

Jennifer Rubin/The Washington Post:

Wisconsin GOP entertains a constitutional crisis. Again.

Republicans are openly talking of impeaching Protasiewicz before she has heard a single case. Led by right-wing radical Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, Republicans accuse Protasiewicz of “prejudging” redistricting cases pending before the Supreme Court because of comments she made during her campaign. However, as the Associated Press reported, “She never promised to rule one way or another,” although she observed the lines were “unfair” and “rigged.” Republicans also claim she must recuse herself because she accepted money from the Democratic Party. She has promised to do so in any case in which the party is a litigant. (In the redistricting case, the Democratic Party is not a litigant.)

Republicans have threatened to move forward unless she recuses herself from the case challenging the redistricting lines. Because Wisconsin limits impeachment to cases of corruption or commission of a crime, neither of which apply here, this would be a blatant misuse of the constitution, a usurpation of judicial powers and a violation of the separation of powers.

Philip Bump/The Washington Post:

Wisconsin’s gerrymandering rides to the rescue of its gerrymandering

Allowing Protasiewicz to vote on the maps would probably mean that the boundaries will be redrawn, weakening the disproportionate power Republicans have wielded in the state legislature for years. So they’re using that disproportionate power in consideration of impeachment and removal.

We're hearing from the Capitol that constituents reaching out to legislators is making a difference. Keep calling, texting, knocking, and talking in person with your legislators. GOP legislators are nervous about ignoring the constitutional requirements for impeachment. 1/ https://t.co/KtFy0GcmBP

— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) September 7, 2023

Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel:

Wisconsin Democrats pledge a $4 million-plus blitz to counter GOP on impeaching Protasiewicz

In the month since Protasiewicz was sworn in after winning her April 2022 election with an 11-point margin — an unusually lopsided election in a state known for hotly contested statewide races — behind-the-scenes battles among justices and court employees have escalated with the court's conservative chief justice accusing its new liberal majority of pulling off "an unprecedented coup."

Additionally, Republican lawmakers have raised the prospect of impeaching Protasiewicz if she does not step away from challenges to the state's electoral maps that are currently under the court's consideration. Such proceedings would begin in the state Assembly, where a simple majority must vote to impeach before the state Senate can take it up. From there, the Senate can conduct a trial based on the evidence. If two-thirds of the senators present vote to convict, the official is removed from office.

In the case of a judicial officer, once the Assembly votes to impeach, the official cannot perform the duties of their office without being acquitted by the Senate. That leaves open the possibility the Senate could sit on the Assembly action without scheduling a trial, effectively sidelining Protasiewicz and leaving the court evenly divided at 3-3 on ideological lines.

Assembly Speaker Robin Vos said it's "common sense" that Protasiewicz should not rule on a case she has "prejudged," referring to the redistricting lawsuits.

This tendency to be obsessed w/ individual actors has also muddied progressive discourse, in addition to the "too old" convo. "We need a progressive challenger to Biden!" Why? Assuming this progressive challenger won the primary, what would they be achieving that Biden is not?

— Magdi Jacobs (@magi_jay) September 6, 2023

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution:

Fulton judge ‘very skeptical’ of trying all 19 Trump defendants together

“It seems a bit unrealistic that we could handle all 19 in 40-something days,” [State Judge] McAfee said. “That’s my initial reaction.”

McAfee gave prosecutors until Tuesday to respond in a court brief.

The judge’s comments came during a 90-minute hearing in which attorneys for two of the case’s co-defendants, lawyers Kenneth Chesebro and Sidney Powell, argued that they should be tried separately from one another and the larger group.

At the end of the hearing, McAfee granted Powell’s demand for a speedy trial, setting her trial date for Oct. 23, the same day as Chesebro’s. He denied a push from Chesebro to sever his case from Powell and a motion from Powell to sever her case from Chesebro’s.

The cheese won’t stand alone.

this is a BFD Biden Administration to Bar Drilling on Millions of Acres in Alaska The administration will cancel oil and gas leases in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and set aside more than half of the National Petroleum Reserve.https://t.co/hNc0GBTIrT

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) September 7, 2023

Chris Geidner/Law Dork:

Alabama continues fighting to ignore SCOTUS voting rights decision

Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen plans to go back to the Supreme Court on Thursday to ask the justices to ignore the fact that Alabama ignored the court’s own June voting rights ruling, as well as lower court rulings ordering Alabama to give Black voters in the state the opportunity to elect two congressional representatives of their choosing.

Allen, supported by Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall, wants the justices to allow the state to implement its latest illegal map that only contains one such “opportunity district” — with the intention of using it in the 2024 elections.

The real question is whether the Supreme Court will allow this brazen effort to ignore the law, the federal courts, and its own ruling.

Guilty pleasures — Cliff Schecter on Peter Navarro (who was convicted yesterday of Contempt of Congress):