Former national security adviser John Bolton, who has been a central figure in Democrats' fight to hear from witnesses in the Senate trial, defended on Thursday Trump administration officials who testified as part of the House impeachment inquiry.
To Senate Republicans, a Vote for Witnesses Is a Vote for Trouble
Lawmakers fear allowing new testimony would tie up the Senate indefinitely and open the door to a cascade of new accusations.
“We don’t need Mr. Bolton to come in and to extend this show longer, along with any other witnesses people might want, and occupy all of our time here in the Senate for the next few weeks, maybe even months,” Senator John Cornyn, Republican of Texas and a close ally of Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the majority leader, said Tuesday evening on Fox.
Josh Holmes, a former chief of staff and a top outside adviser to Mr. McConnell, made it clear that Republicans viewed the idea of calling witnesses as a disaster in the making.
“More witnesses = Hindenburg,” Mr. Holmes wrote Wednesday on Twitter, showing a picture of the flaming airship. “None of it changes ultimate acquittal.”
They are afraid of the facts. Now, Republicans will be patting themselves on the back today about how clever they are but meanwhile …
Trump has led his party to this dead end, and it may well cost him his chance for reelection, presuming he is not removed through impeachment. But the president’s defeat would likely only deepen the despair that fueled his rise, confirming his supporters’ fear that the demographic tide has turned against them. That fear is the single greatest threat facing American democracy, the force that is already battering down precedents, leveling norms, and demolishing guardrails. When a group that has traditionally exercised power comes to believe that its eclipse is inevitable, and that the destruction of all it holds dear will follow, it will fight to preserve what it has—whatever the cost.
Tim Alberta had a very pointed thread on Lamar Alexander (who said the House managers proved their case, so he’s a ‘no’ on witnesses for that reason, and a ‘no’ on impeachment because what Trump did is bad but not impeachable bad):
I’ve spent a LOT of time with retired (and retiring) congressional Rs since 2016. Most feel zero sense of liberation to bash Trump on the way out. If anything, they’re even more cowed & cautious, fearing that being out of favor w: POTUS (and his party) limits their earning power.
And it’s not just about money. I’ve had numerous retiring Rs talk warily — sometimes fearfully — about the “cult” of Trump supporters back home. They worry about harassment of their families, loss of standing in local communities, estranged relationships, etc.
If you think this is a bunch of weak-ass excuse making from people who ought to rise above it and do what they think is right..... well, no argument here.
I’m just explaining the reality for these Rs. They feel trapped, most of them—and retirement isn’t the escape we might think.
But Lamar was right about one thing. The House managers proved their case:
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There is no need for more evidence to conclude that the president withheld United States aid, at least in part, to pressure Ukraine to investigate the Bidens; the House managers have proved this with what they call a “mountain of overwhelming evidence.†3/15
By refusing to have witnesses the GOP (1) assured that Trump’s acquittal is not an exoneration, (2) defies overwhelming public support for hearing witnesses (3) puts senate majority at risk by forcing vulnerables to cast toxic vote for coverup.....
I realize all of you are feelings the SADs right now. Even though an outcome is expected, small hope is always there. And when that hope gets crushed, people get pissed. Which is why I've argued the acquittal, although expected, is still going to PISS people off & add to D adv.
— Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔠(@RachelBitecofer) January 30, 2020
That’s our message: make them pay in November and yes, we are pissed.
Trump is being impeached over an extortion scheme, not a 'policy dispute'
Trump was shaking down Zelensky while trying to keep the rest of the government in the dark. That’s not a 'policy,' that’s a conspiracy.
This scheme (it is too misleading even to call it a “policy”) was a rogue operation against Ukraine’s new president, Volodymyr Zelensky, conducted by Trump’s personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani and a squad of shady characters, none of whom were answerable to anyone but Trump himself. (One wonders how Sen. Lee’s constitutionalism squares with foreign operations being conducted by the likes of Giuliani and Lev Parnas, out of sight of pesky members of Congress and their annoying questions.)
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Bolton played a clever game trying to ramp up the value of his book, but he didn’t factor in that Bill Barr is coming to destroy him at the behest of an exonerated Donald Trump with newly unlimited executive powers.
The longer GOP blocks Bolton, the more he will hurt them
Senate Republicans covering for Trump are letting all their chips ride on the intensity of the voters from Trump's base to carry them through to reelection, but that’s a risky bet. Especially with highly controversial candidates, those supporters can suddenly reach a breaking point where enough is enough. I’ve seen numerous elections where support for high-risk candidates suddenly evaporated, resulting in massive, sudden swings in the polls — one from a dead heat to a 25-point loss in just three weeks.
Republicans who don’t hedge their bets by at least allowing witnesses will have no chance to survive if Trump takes a dive. The remaining Republicans would face increasing odds of finding themselves a powerless minority against an enraged and emboldened Democratic majority absolutely out for blood.
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From me: YouGov’s polling reveals that voters perceive all the major Democratic contenders other than Joe Biden as MORE ideologically extreme than Donald Trump. https://t.co/B0IUkef1OK
G Elliott Morris on what the data for electability (fwiw) says, from the Economist ($$):
Who will be Donald Trump’s most forceful foe?
Data suggest that one Democratic candidate would do better than others against the president in November
Here, Mr Biden looks strong. YouGov’s polling reveals that Americans view him as the most moderate Democrat, on average. They perceive all the other major Democratic contenders as more extreme than Mr Trump (see chart).
This is what YouGov respondents say
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We think that (B) is especially important, so let me just reiterate here. The typical argument for ideologues is that the "fire up" the base. That's true! But they fire up the other side even more. This will be esp. important in 2020 with turnout expected to exceed 60%.
While 71% of Americans in our new @USATODAY@Ipsos poll say they would be comfortable with a woman president, just 33% say their neighbors would be--perhaps a more candid measure. https://t.co/sUSlPtwSgW
Dear Mr. Dershowitz, 'mixed motives' is no impeachment defense when there's corrupt intent
Taken together, Donald Trump's actions — at least seven of them — contradict the defense claim that he had any legitimate national interest in mind.
Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, opened the question-and-answer portion of the Senate impeachment trial by asking whether President Donald Trump was guilty if he had "mixed motives." In other words, what if he was protecting both American interests by seeking an investigation of alleged foreign corruption and protecting his own interests because the investigation — and its announcement — would smear rival Joe Biden?
The president's lawyers responded that the Senate cannot properly convict a president for a "mixed motive" quid pro quo. After all, professor Alan Dershowitz argued, all elected officials take action to help their electoral prospects, and all believe that the nation is best served by their reelection. Presidents may not be removed from office for self-serving actions that also advance the public interest.
This absurdist argument is raised as a smokescreen to avoid what makes a trial a trial: hearing testimony from firsthand witnesses such as former national security adviser John Bolton, who says the president told him he would only allow military aid if Ukraine investigated former Vice President Biden and his son Hunter.
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GOP argument:* We've already heard enough witnesses, so we don't need to hear from the one with the most direct knowledge of Trump's central act* We'll acquit, b/c Ds failed to produce testimony from anyone with direct knowledge of Trump's central acthttps://t.co/SU4LaLouUDpic.twitter.com/dk4xthZcgy
World Health Organization declares coronavirus outbreak a ‘public health emergency’
The World Health Organization announced Thursday that it was declaring the coronavirus outbreak a “public health emergency,” setting in motion a plan for global coordination to stem the spread of the virus, which originated last month in Wuhan, China.
Chinese officials announced more than 1,900 new cases of the coronavirus on the same day, as the total number of people infected in mainland China reached over 8,000 and surpassed those infected with SARS during the 2002-2003 epidemic.
The United States confirmed a sixth U.S. case of the Wuhan coronavirus on Thursday, marking the first time the virus has spread from person to person in the United States.
With experts saying a vaccine is still a long way off, more international cases of the illness have appeared. Australia, Vietnam and South Korea all announced new coronavirus infections, while India and the Philippines had their first ones. Here’s what we know so far:
One thing we know is it’s an evolving situation so what I write today might not be true in a month, but at the moment, flu seems worse, at least in the US. In China, well, that is another story.
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I'm watching this slowly tick up from my office in Hong Kong. Wherever you're reading this, you're not as far away as you likely think. National borders mean very little to pathogens.#CoronaOutbreakpic.twitter.com/vuk91KXrwE
One thing of concern is that personal protective supplies are running short there, and eventually here (that’s where some of it is made).
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Russia has now shut its entire land border with China - one of the longest borders in the world - in an effort to prevent the spread of the #coronavirusMaybe they need some sort of great wall on that border. pic.twitter.com/Emt8igZGsH
With airline cancellations and border closures, look for economic effects soon. And don’t assume it’s over.
In the meantime, follow CDC, trusted medical sources, and be wary of internet memes and self-styled ‘experts’. And get your flu shot and wash your hands.
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This paper just published in the New England Journal of Medicine will be of interest for anyone concerned about the potential spread of the Wuhan virus.#coronavirushttps://t.co/eaxGWnjX9b
Can we all just be honest?The GOP no longer believes in fair elections because fair elections gave us a black president.It’s really NOT more complicated than that. That’s the heart of Dersh’s argument that 45 can cheat if he thinks it’s in the national interest.
President Trump said he believes he'll get some Democrats voting for his acquittal as the Senate heads for a decisive vote in his impeachment trial.
"I have great confidence in Republican senators and probably some Democrats from what I understand," Mr. Trump told Fox News in an interview Thursday night ...
A former top Trump official has defended leading witnesses who have testified against the US president in his impeachment inquiry, according to local media.John Bolton reportedly said the ex-members of the Trump administration “acted in the best interest of the country as they saw it” as Democrats push to hear his own testimony.
Over two weeks, Chief Justice John Roberts has served as a careful steward of Senate procedures and ensured that the impeachment trial did not descend into nastiness or an outing of the whistleblower whose information months ago triggered this prosecution of President Donald Trump.
Another pivotal Republican announced opposition on Friday to calling witnesses in President Donald Trump's U.S. Senate impeachment trial, appearing to doom a bid by Democrats to permit testimony and paving the way for his expected acquittal. Senator Lisa Murkowski said she carefully considered the need for witnesses and documents in the trial that will determine whether Trump is removed from office, but ultimately decided against it. A vote on allowing witnesses, such as former national security adviser John Bolton, is due later in the day.
President Donald Trump’s impeachment trial faces a climactic vote on Friday, when senators are due to decide whether to call witnesses and prolong the historic proceeding or instead bring them to the swift conclusion that Trump wants.