Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Important stories to help you make sense of it all

Ed Yong/Atlantic:

Why the Coronavirus Is So Confusing

A guide to making sense of a problem that is now too big for any one person to fully comprehend

Why do some people get really sick, but others do not? Are the models too optimistic or too pessimistic? Exactly how transmissible and deadly is the virus? How many people have actually been infected? How long must social restrictions go on for? Why are so many questions still unanswered?

Done in parts, and hard to abbreviate (even though that’s what we do!)

��All of us who traveled with [Pence] were notified by the office of @VP the day before the trip that wearing of masks was required by the @MayoClinic and to prepare accordingly,� tweeted Herman, who covered the trip as part of his rotation as one of the pool reporters https://t.co/4IQTHwg90B

— Lisa Rein (@Reinlwapo) May 1, 2020

Michelle Cottle/NY Times:

Republicans, It’s Too Late to Back Away From Trump

G.O.P. lawmakers have enabled all of the president’s misadventures up to now. They can’t disavow his response to the coronavirus.

Even so, it has been their response to Mr. Trump’s handling of this pandemic that has shown what his Republican enablers are truly made of. Day after day, the president has come before the nation in news briefings and on Twitter, spreading not simply nonsense but dangerous nonsense — downplaying the risks of the virus, peddling quack remedies, misrepresenting the availability of diagnostic testing and protective equipment, picking fights with governors struggling to protect their states and, of course, deflecting blame onto everyone from the World Health Organization to the Obama administration.

Through it all, few Republicans have managed to muster even a peep of protest. And they have been happy to promote the president’s story that everything is China’s fault — just as they have supported his efforts to turn an apolitical pandemic into a partisan battle between red and blue states.

Here's a very important story from @moorefromcj. �If we don�t listen to the experts in infectious disease, epidemiology and pandemic preparedness, and follow their lead, we will all be contributing to the spread of this virus," says UM Dr. Howard Markel. https://t.co/AaiAs6eFtA

— Susan J. Demas ðÂ�Â�Â� (@sjdemas) April 30, 2020

WaPo:

Republican-led states signal they could strip workers’ unemployment benefits if they don’t return to work, sparking fresh safety fears

The message to workers is “endanger your life or starve,” critics say

The threats have been loudest among Republican leaders in recent days, reflecting their anxious attempts to jump-start local economic recovery roughly two months after most businesses shut their doors. In Iowa, for example, state officials even have posted a public call for companies to get in touch if an “employee refuses to return to work.”

Hey, GOP, people vote in November.

NEW: Republican official says on private conference call that voters aren�t giving GOP senators sufficient credit for pandemic aid. "The numbers are good for our folks, but they are not as great as they are for the governors."https://t.co/V6GBEhNGw8

— Sean Sullivan (@WaPoSean) April 30, 2020

Hmmmmm… 🤔 🤔 🤔

Three stories, three outlets, about Trump being told he is losing:

CNNTrump erupts at campaign manager as reelection stress overflows WaPo: Trump presented with grim internal polling showing him losing to Biden NY Times: Polls Had Trump Stewing, and Lashing Out at His Own Campaign

I'm guessing the 'drink bleach' story is peaking https://t.co/azooGAtNfq pic.twitter.com/p2SsronJ5i

— Greg Dworkin (@DemFromCT) April 30, 2020

James Hohmann/WaPo:

Five important coronavirus questions that scientists and doctors are racing to answer

“Eric Topol, director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., said that remdesivir ‘isn’t a breakthrough drug,’ and that the totality of evidence, with its mix of good and bad results, offers a ‘confusing picture.’ But he said the drug is a ‘good start,’’” per Chris and Laurie. “A number of leaked trial results and small remdesivir studies without placebo controls have whipsawed stock markets in recent weeks … The medical journal The Lancet Wednesday released results of a negative clinical trial of remdesivir in China that was terminated early because investigators, as the China outbreak subsided, were unable to recruit all of the 453 patients they sought. In the 237 patients that did participate in the placebo-controlled trial, there was no statistically significant difference in time to clinical improvement, the Chinese investigators reported. Deaths were roughly the same.

New today, we laid out two cases against Trump for his current response and asked people which bothered them more. By a pretty clear margin, that Trump's words and actions are putting people's health/lives at risk is more concerning than lack of leadership and plan. pic.twitter.com/Cu8242sLDZ

— Nick Gourevitch (@nickgourevitch) April 30, 2020

Gabe Sherman/Vanity Fair:

Inside Donald Trump and Jared Kushner’s Two Months of Magical Thinking

Obsessed with impeachment and their enemies and worried about the stock market, the president and his son-in-law scapegoated HHS Secretary Alex Azar, and treated the coronavirus as mostly a political problem as it moved through the country.
When the coronavirus exploded out of China, Kushner was the second most powerful person in the West Wing, exerting influence over virtually every significant decision, from negotiating trade deals to 2020 campaign strategy to overseeing Trump’s impeachment defense. “Jared is running everything. He’s the de facto president of the United States,” a former White House official told me. The previous chief of staff John Kelly, who’d marginalized Kushner, was long gone, and Mick Mulvaney, a virtual lame duck by that point, let Kushner run free. “Jared treats Mick like the help,” a prominent Republican said.

Jared Kushner called 1m infections, 60k dead, a shuttered economy, 25m+ unemployed, and 3-6% drop in GDP for now with much larger likely to come "a great success story." If our leaders refuse to see where we're failing, they can't help us get better.

— Ian Bassin (@ianbassin) April 29, 2020

Michael J Stern/USA today:

Why I'm skeptical about Reade's sexual assault claim against Biden: Ex-prosecutor

If we must blindly accept every allegation of sexual assault, the #MeToo movement is just a hit squad. And it's too important to be no more than that.

When women make allegations of sexual assault, my default response is to believe them. But as the news media have investigated Reade’s allegations, I’ve become increasingly skeptical. Here are some of the reasons why:

►Delayed reporting … twice. Reade waited 27 years to publicly report her allegation that Biden sexually assaulted her. I understand that victims of sexual assault often do not come forward immediately because recounting the most violent and degrading experience of their lives, to a bunch of strangers, is the proverbial insult to injury. That so many women were willing to wait in my dreary government office, as I ran to the restroom to pull myself together after listening to their stories, is a testament to their fortitude.

Even so, it is reasonable to consider a 27-year reporting delay when assessing the believability of any criminal allegation. More significant perhaps, is Reade’s decision to sit down with a newspaper last year and accuse Biden of touching her in a sexual way that made her uncomfortable — but neglect to mention her claim that he forcibly penetrated her with his fingers.

As a lawyer and victims’ rights advocate, Reade was better equipped than most to appreciate that dramatic changes in sexual assault allegations severely undercut an accuser’s credibility — especially when the change is from an uncomfortable shoulder touch to vaginal penetration.

►Implausible explanation for changing story. When Reade went public with her sexual assault allegation in March, she said she wanted to do it in an interview with The Union newspaper in California last April. She said the reporter’s tone made her feel uncomfortable and "I just really got shut down” and didn't tell the whole story.

It is hard to believe a reporter would discourage this kind of scoop. Regardless, it's also hard to accept that it took Reade 12 months to find another reporter eager to break that bombshell story. This unlikely explanation damages her credibility.

Also:

This seems like the endgame here, push Biden to open up the papers and then rummage around (a la Hillary�s pilfered emails) and then find stuff to hit him with. https://t.co/SHWknKjePM

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) April 30, 2020

An underappreciated stat:

When it comes to the #2020election, about 1/3 say #coronavirus will be either major (14%) or minor factor (20%) in their vote. About two-thirds (64%) say they've already made up their minds. That �swing� group related to the pandemic could be determinative https://t.co/st1Cr5iv1f

— Domenico Montanaro (@DomenicoNPR) April 29, 2020

Democrats push for federal control during medical supply shortage

A pair of Democrats are mounting an aggressive push for the federal government to take over buying and distributing much-needed medical supplies, as states continue to battle one another for precious equipment to fight the coronavirus.

Rep. Anthony Brown (D-Md.) is leading the effort with a bill that would give the Federal Emergency Management Agency control over supplying medical equipment to states — from ventilators and X-ray machines to masks and gloves — during this and future pandemics. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is sponsoring a companion bill in the Senate.

“We've got a shortage and scarcity of essential medical supplies and equipment, where states are bidding against one another,” Brown said in an interview. “It's not the most efficient way to either provide or distribute. And the federal government has got to take responsibility.”

In a sign of the sparsity of such equipment, some states are even keeping their limited stock under military guard.

The bill is one of multiple pieces of legislation introduced by Democrats in recent days that would centralize at least some parts of the supply and delivery of medical supplies during an emergency. Brown says their legislation is “the most aggressive” on this issue and something he and Warren hope to see discussed as part of the next round of coronavirus relief package negotiations.

Rep. Anthony Brown, D-Md., speaks as the House of Representatives debates the articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump at the Capitol in Washington, Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2019. (House Television via AP)

“We can’t confront a national crisis with bidding wars and massive price increases — we need a national strategy,” Warren said. “If President Trump won’t do his job, Congress will do it for him.”

But it’s unclear how much Republicans would be interested, if at all, given GOP lawmakers are loath to support any additional federal control over states.

Brown is undeterred, saying his effort comes after his home-state governor, Republican Larry Hogan, purchased 500,000 coronavirus test kits from South Korea due to states’ limited supplies. Brown’s measure seeks to make such direct purchases unnecessary.

But most of Maryland’s test kits have yet to be used, sitting in a undisclosed location protected by the state National Guard, Hogan told The Washington Post on Thursday. Brown attributes the unused kits to a lack of medical swabs needed to complete the test and says his bill would prevent that kind of mishap from happening again.

The situation in Maryland isn’t unique. As the coronavirus continues to spread across the U.S., states have been thrown into a highly competitive effort to procure supplies, competing against each other as they try to secure personal protective equipment for frontline workers, often at a much higher cost than normal.

The dearth of supplies and lack of organization at the federal level — President Donald Trump has waffled between a White House-led response and dismissively telling states the federal government is “not a shipping clerk” — has led some governors to get creative.

For example, in Warren’s home state of Massachusetts, Gov. Charlie Baker has relied on the New England Patriots to help deliver 1.2 million face masks purchased from China, using the football team’s private plane and semitractor-trailer.

And even that isn’t a solution — in recent weeks there have been questions in both the U.S. and Britain about the effectiveness of PPE supplies, including masks and ventilators, procured from China.

In addition, some states never even see the supplies they purchased. New York is currently trying to recover $69 million it awarded a Silicon Valley engineer with no medical device experience to produce ventilators that never arrived, BuzzFeed reported Wednesday. And lawmakers in both parties have complained of securing supplies for their states only to see them outbid and shipped elsewhere at the last minute.

The Brown-Warren bill would aim to prevent situations like that from ever happening again, the Maryland Democrat argued, by centralizing the supply chain operation through FEMA. In addition, Congress would receive biweekly progress reports for the duration of the pandemic.

“This establishes the government at the sole payer and distributor. You're going to eliminate states bidding against states, private sector against public sector,” Brown said.

“And not for everything under the sun. Just for those items, the supplies and the devices, where the FEMA director has determined, in consultation with the appropriate officials, that you're seeing price increases that exceed 15 percent.”

If the idea isn’t incorporated into the next coronavirus relief package, which Speaker Nancy Pelosi has said she wants to move in the coming weeks, Brown is already looking at other legislative vehicles that are guaranteed to move through Congress this year.

One option for Brown, who serves on the House Armed Services panel, is the annual defense authorization, which Congress has passed every year since 1961. Leaders of the panel released a statement earlier this week saying they’re still aiming to complete this year’s defense bill, despite the coronavirus interruption.

“I'm less concerned with how what vehicle is used. But more concerned that we get this provision passed,” Brown said.

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